GIS-理論と応用
Online ISSN : 2185-5633
Print ISSN : 1340-5381
ISSN-L : 1340-5381
展望論文
地理的犯罪予測研究の潮流
大山 智也雨宮 護島田 貴仁中谷 友樹
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ジャーナル フリー

2017 年 25 巻 1 号 p. 33-43

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Geographical crime prediction have been the focus of much research in western countries over the past decade and crime prediction systems are already in use several countries including Japan where a prefectural police department have recently introduced a certain system. However there has been no prior research into this field in Japan. This paper presents a systematic review of geographical crime prediction and discusses their relevance to the Japanese context. We identify four categories of geographical crime prediction methods: (1) surveillance of space-time clusters of crime; (2) estimation of crime intensity based on space-time interaction; (3) prediction of crime risk based on environmental factors; and (4) prediction of crime numbers/possibilities. These categories are based on established theories and have been developed independently of each other. Finally, we suggest directions for future developments of this research field in Japan.

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© 2017 一般社団法人 地理情報システム学会
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