1. Introduction
The tobacco cutworm,
Spodoptera litura (Fabricius) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae), is an economic polyphagous pest that damages a wide range of crop, vegetable, and ornamental hosts in temperate and sub-tropical regions of Asia, Australasia, and the Pacific Islands [
1,
2,
3,
4]. It is known to attack 112 cultivated plant species in different parts of the world [
5,
6,
7], with approximately 60 species being found in India [
2]. Plant damage from larvae is the most serious problem due to the heavy feeding nature and insecticide resistance of the cutworm [
8] and the lack of effective controls [
9,
10,
11]. It can cause significant defoliation damage ranging anywhere between 26% and 100% due to vigorous defoliation [
12], and sometimes up to 100% in field conditions [
13]. Due to the severe damage it causes,
S. litura infestations lead to considerable crop and economic losses [
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19]. The severe damage caused by this species has resulted in a 100% groundnut yield loss [
14]. In Korea,
S. litura is widespread in almost all provinces and inflicts significant damage to various crops and vegetables [
20,
21,
22]. Further, there is a significant threat of a potential distribution expansion of
S. litura on the Korean peninsula, as the species is found in a hot spot for climate change, especially global warming [
22].
The nutritional quality of host plants varies according to each plant’s characteristics. Host plants offer diverse levels of nutritional content for different insect species, and they can have considerable effects on the life histories of these insects [
23,
24,
25]. Hence, identifying the host-plant-mediated life table parameters of
S. litura would provide fundamental information on the most damaging stages and help to measure and understand the population growth capacity of the species under specified conditions [
26]. A deeper understanding of the host plant-based biology of insects will also provide information on the host suitability of herbivore insect species. Several previous studies reported the effects of different host plants on the biological parameters of
S. litura under different environmental conditions [
5,
13,
27,
28,
29,
30,
31,
32,
33,
34]. However, the aforementioned studies focused on different host plants to those studied in this paper regarding the development, survival, pupal weight, and oviposition of
S. litura under the same environmental conditions, and none of the prior research studied the interactive effects of constant temperature and host plants on the development of
S. litura.
Insects are physiologically sensitive to external environmental factors due to being poikilothermic organisms; environmental factors govern the developmental rate and geographical distribution of insects, and temperature is considered one of the more significant factors affecting the overall developmental processes of insect species [
35,
36,
37]. Pest forecasting, management, and pest risk analysis all depend on having access to information about a pest’s development, survival, and reproduction under various environmental conditions. In particular, temperature has a significant impact on the development, population dynamics, distribution, and survival of insect species [
38,
39,
40,
41,
42], as well as on biological characteristics such as sex ratio [
43], adult longevity, survival, and oviposition [
44,
45,
46]. Insect development is very sensitive to temperature changes, and even slight variations in temperature can lead to huge differences in insect phenology [
41,
42,
47]. Predicting the seasonal occurrence and abundance of any pest is essential for the accurate scheduling of control tactics. Such predictions require an understanding of the relationship between the insect development rate and temperature, especially with regard to prospective climate change [
48,
49], and this relationship is often described in temperature-driven phenology models based on the degree-day [
50]. Although there are some studies related to the diet–temperature-mediated development of
S. litura in Korea [
22,
51], there have been no studies examining the interactive effects of temperature and host plants on the developmental phenology and distribution of
S. litura on host plants in Korea. This study examined the influence of temperature, host plant, and their interactions on the development of
S. litura. Furthermore, this study developed a predictive model of pest distribution by estimating thermal requirements of
S. litura using a climate change framework.
4. Discussion
The surge in temperatures due to global warming has intensively impacted the biological processes of plants and insects, as well as insect population dynamics worldwide [
76]. As a consequence, it is anticipated that serious problems in terms of pest management programs and challenges to food security will become more prevalent [
77,
78,
79]. Hence, it is vital to understand the relationship between temperature and the development rate of insect pests in order to assess adult emergence in the field, develop forecasting models, and ultimately formulate integrated pest management programs [
80]. Temperature is a core factor that leads to noticeable changes in the development of a wide range of insect species [
81,
82,
83,
84]. In this study, we estimated the thermal requirements of
S. litura using linear and nonlinear developmental rate models on different host plant leaves and an artificial diet. Our study revealed that the pattern of development of
S. litura was influenced by the studied temperatures, and the developmental pattern was inversely related to these temperatures [
85,
86]. Our results on the development rate of
S. litura eggs, larvae, and pupae are largely in agreement with the studies conducted by [
7,
87,
88], except at 15 °C. In the present study, we estimated 63.92 d on soybean and 80.20 d on groundnut at 15 °C, which are lower estimates than those found in [
7,
87] on soybean and groundnut, respectively, and higher estimates than those in [
88] on groundnut. These variations may be due to the different host plants (especially cultivars) offered to the larvae as well as the available nutrient content and nutritional quality of the host plants [
6,
34,
89]. The differences in chemical compounds, along with factors other than the temperature, such as insect genetic makeup, geographic origin, and environmental conditions (relative humidity and photoperiod) [
90,
91], emphasized that information regarding the nutritional value of the host plants offered is significant in order to develop viable and applicable management strategies against polyphagous insects, because the economic standing of polyphagous insects is mediated by the nutritional quality and by the relative abundance of the host plants. In this study, the
S. litura eggs could not hatch or complete their development at the higher extreme temperature (40 °C) on either the host plants or the artificial diet. Previous studies have also reported the failure of egg development at extreme temperatures [
42,
92,
93]. This abnormal development and the death of the eggs may be attributed to the rapid dehydration and physiological disorders mediated by the induced heat. Ref. [
94] reported metabolic disorders and even death in insects that experienced prolonged exposure to extreme temperatures. In addition, exposure to extreme temperature regimes also inactivated the enzymes that prevent cell cycle development, thus significantly reducing the temperature range over which insect embryos develop compared to the thermal tolerance range of adults [
95,
96], which would explain why the extreme temperatures had such unfavorable impacts on the development of
S. litura. However, the unsuccessful development of eggs due to extreme temperatures may vary under the fluctuating temperatures found outdoors. Ref. [
97] reported that plants can maintain leaf temperatures that differ from the ambient temperature; for example, through evapotranspiration, host plants may insulate eggs from extreme temperatures. This phenomenon can be associated with egg size and proximity, and the eggs may exploit the physiology of their host’s leaves to escape from damage due to high temperatures.
In nature, the selection of a host by insect species is governed by adoptative evolution, and this selection behavior guides the evolution of host plant specificity [
98,
99]. Host plants play a vital role in the optimum development, mating behavior, and survival of insects in a given environmental condition, and the development and life variables of polyphagous insects are often associated with their host plants [
100,
101]. Within plant characteristics, the nutritional value and quality of the host plants are the significant factors that affect the survival and fitness of insects [
23,
25,
102,
103].
Insect development depends on diet to a considerable degree [
25,
104], and the utilization of different plant food sources brings variation to the life variables of insects [
105,
106]. In this study, alongside the effect of temperature (
Table 3), the host plants also influenced the development and survival of
S. litura, and the data clearly showed variation in the developmental time of the larvae, and their survival on soybean, maize, groundnut, and azuki bean. This influence of host plants on development of larvae is also backed by our regression analysis (
Table 5). These findings are supported by several previous studies, despite the fact that a coordinated comparison of the findings can be difficult as diverse host plants and natural conditions were utilized in the research [
6,
42,
51,
101,
107,
108]. A study by [
7] examining the developmental variables on soybean reported the developmental time of
S. litura larva as 93.0 d at 15 °C, which was much longer than in this study. Other studies by [
87,
88] estimating the developmental variables on groundnut reported developmental times for larvae of 94.5 d and 51 d at 15 °C, respectively; the estimates of [
87] were lower and those of [
89] were higher than our estimates. In addition, [
88] reported the developmental time of larvae on groundnut to be 17 d at 27 °C, which was approximately 4 d shorter than in this study. However, a slightly longer developmental time (23.2 d) on tobacco and shorter developmental times (15.8 and 13.3 d) on cowpea and Chinese cabbage, respectively, have been reported, in comparison to our estimates for
S. litura larvae at 26 ± 1 °C [
6]. This difference in the developmental time of
S. litura may be due to different soybean and groundnut varieties and the nutritional quality associated with (and the quantity of) the host plant variety [
98,
109]. The accessibility of primary and secondary biochemicals on diverse host plants or diverse host plant parts consumed by the larvae may also have influenced the developmental time of this moth [
110]. A study conducted by [
111] examining the feeding environment of several insect species found that some plants contained fewer of the basic supplements necessary for the typical development of insects; specifically, insects that feed on sources with such poor nutrient levels tend to store the most important substances, such as lipids, instead of utilizing them for ordinary development, resulting in a longer development time. Other studies have also posited that this type of prolonged developmental time may be due to a lack of basic host plant nutrients [
112], with nutrient deficiency ultimately leading to a longer development time in lepidopterans [
113]. Refs. [
114,
115] reported that a lack of certain proteins may antagonistically influence the developmental times of insect species. In addition, Lepidoptera showed weak performance and slower development when they consumed leaves containing a higher amount of crude fiber and less protein [
116], secondary metabolites, and toxic proteins [
117,
118]. We observed a longer developmental time for
S. litura when they were fed on groundnut, which may be associated with higher amounts of secondary metabolites and toxic proteins, and less protein, as described by [
118]. The influence of the nutrient contents of host plants on the developmental time of
S. litura is well supported by the nutrient analysis carried out in this study, which clearly showed the differences in nutrient content among the host plants’ leaves, and the association between nutrient contents of host plants and life-table parameters of
S. litura (
Table 4 and
Table 5).
In this study, we found that the pupal development varies among temperatures on all food hosts. In the case of pupal development, [
28] reported that it was not mediated by the host plants on which the larvae fed. The developmental time of pupae on the host plants may be explained by the fact that pupal development is controlled by factors other than just the host plant, such as temperature and relative humidity, and such factors may be more critical than the host plant in some circumstances. This phenomenon is well supported by [
21], who reported that temperature plays a vital role in the pupal development of
S. litura. Further, the authors reported that the mean pupal developmental duration was as long as 13.83 d at 24 °C on perilla and as short as 7.00 d at 32 °C on soybean.
In this study, we presented evidence that temperature and host plants significantly influence the longevity of
S. litura. However, the sex ratio (female proportion) was not biased, and almost equal numbers of female and male adults emerged when their larvae were fed with the host plants and the artificial diet. The longevities of both the female and male
S. litura adults were also significantly affected by the host plants and the artificial diet on which their larvae fed (
Table 2). The females that emerged from larvae fed with soybean lived the longest at 15 °C, while the males that emerged from larvae fed with groundnut lived the longest at 35 °C. Again, this varied outcome may be attributed to the nutritional quality and quantity of the host plant species and the biochemical components available on those plants [
98,
108]. We noticed significant differences between the females’ and males’ longevities among those that emerged from the host plants. These results are in agreement with the findings of previous studies [
6,
41,
42,
98]. In addition to the nutrition quality of each host plant, these longevity differences may be linked to several factors and interactions such as the complex interaction between specific native environmental conditions and sex-specific costs of reproduction, the epigenetic control of longevity by imprinting through DNA methylation, and increased fecundity and protection from aging stemming from the act of mating or components from the male ejaculate [
119].
The estimation of the population development of organisms is generally carried out using origination and the development-based lower temperature threshold [
120]. The estimations of the LTDs for the eggs, larvae, and pupae of
S. litura using the linear model estimated by [
7] on soybean and by [
87] on groundnut are in contrast to the present study. Ref. [
7] estimated lower LTDs for eggs (10.2 °C), but higher for larvae and pupae (9.9 and 9.8 °C, respectively) than we estimated in the present study. However, Ref. [
87] reported lower LDTs for the egg (8.2 °C), larval (10.0 °C), and pupal (10.2 °C) stages on groundnut than our estimates. In the present study, our estimate was 45.08 DD for eggs to hatch on groundnut, which is lower than the thermal constant estimated by [
87], who reported 64 DD for eggs on groundnut. However, Ref. [
88] estimated lower thermal constants for larvae (303 DD) and pupae (155 DD) on groundnut than we estimated in the present study. This differences in the estimations of the lower developmental threshold and thermal constant may be attributed to differences in the rearing conditions, exposed environmental conditions, host plant variety, nutrient contents present, and the quality of the host plants used as larval food [
6,
42]. This reflects that there are factors other than temperature involved in the variations observed among the host plants, temperatures, and their interaction in this study (
Table 3). This type of variation due to the significant interaction between temperature and diet was also noticed in other
Spodoptera species [
42,
121]. It may also be due to the contrasts in each study’s exploratory technique. In this study, we allowed the larvae to pupate and remain pupae in the same Petri dish (5 cm dia. × 1.5 cm height, with topside ventilation) until the adults emerged. However, Ref. [
88] used transparent plastic cups, and [
7] utilized bigger Petri dishes (10 cm dia.) than we provided for our larvae, and the pupae were kept in a test tube rather than a Petri dish. It is worth considering whether the materials and techniques utilized have an influence on the developmental requirements of
S. litura.
In the field of scientific research, there is still debate on the validity of the existing mathematical functions. Although a wide range of mathematical functions have been developed and are being used in developmental research for describing insect development rates across thermal regimes, authors tend to select models based on strong subject- and field-associated biases. Moreover, the performance of each model also varies according to the specific context, and there is no clear agreement on one particular model that can be ideally used across a wide range of applications [
122]. At present, either a single model or a number of models focusing on a specific taxonomic group, frequently without justification, are used in many studies to describe temperature-dependent advancement, meaning that the key qualities of the model such as prescient control or other beneficial qualities may also be neglected [
123]. Considering this shortcoming, we chose a number of diverse models to perform the data analysis. In the present study, we utilized one nonlinear numerical model (SSI) to sufficiently depict the formative rate versus the temperature curve, since the relationship between them is curvilinear near to the extremes. The reason for selecting the SSI nonlinear model is that the model offers clear biophysical meaning and thermodynamic information among the model parameters [
95,
124], and can best describe the temperature ranges for insect development with the temperature threshold and the maximum temperature estimates. The superior performance of the SSI nonlinear model is also supported by [
125], who described that the SSI function performed as well as, or better than, other functions. In this study, we found that the high correlation coefficient (r
2-values: 0.98–0.99) and the minimum variance of the estimated parameters on all host plants showed that the developmental rate of
S. litura was well fitted and described using a nonlinear model. The intrinsic optimum temperature (
Tφ) value is known as the most critical factor for development that determines the fitness of an optimum life history strategy [
70], which is evidence for the involvement of the maximal active state of enzymes in the development process [
126,
127]. The data we estimated in this study was found to fit well into the rate-control enzyme model and well described the development of
S. litura (
Figure 4).
Standard laboratory-based research conducted under a standard set of conditions, such as a consistent temperature and other controlled and replicable conditions with a specific physiological or behavioral response or survival, regularly delivers generally straightforward relationships. Nevertheless, these relationships may not be as simple as those observed under controlled conditions due to the complexity and variability experienced in field conditions, along with the involvement of little-known or unclear characteristics [
128]. Ref. [
129] presented evidence concerning the impact on modification within the phenotype of
Drosophila melanogaster Meigen due to the development mediated by adult temperature acclimation. Supporting the notion of the impact of temperature acclimation, Ref. [
128] detailed the versatile effects of acclimation in both laboratory and field tests, with more grounded impacts being observed within the field test. In spite of the fact that there is a difference in the relationship between the laboratory and the field, the evaluated laboratory-based traits might still be significant and pertinent to field execution, but this basic assumption should be verified [
130]. Moreover, Ref. [
87] reported that the response of different stages of
S. litura to temperature under constant laboratory conditions was similar to that under field conditions.
We estimated the lower temperature threshold and thermal constant of
S. litura using linear models because these are broadly utilized to assess the lower temperature limit and thermal constant of insect species [
131] despite the fact that analysts have highlighted numerous drawbacks [
132,
133]. In spite of these inadequacies, linear models remain widely utilized since they require negligible information input for definitions using simple calculation. Hence, their application has generally been found to be sufficient with acceptable exactness [
134]. By using a linear model with thermal constant estimates on the host plants and the artificial diet, we tested the simple application of a degree-day model with the biofix of 1 January [
135,
136] to predict the number of generations of
S. litura, which resulted in 4.21–5.30 generations in 2018, 4.11–5.23 in 2019, 4.0–5.16 in 2020, 4.30–5.47 in 2021, and 4.27–5.42 in 2022 on the host plants and the artificial diet. The resulting spring emergence dates for
S. litura were 28 May–13 June in 2018, 31 May–19 June in 2019, 26 May–13 June in 2020, 26 May–17 June in 2021, and 24 May–12 June in 2022 in the fields of the host plants in Korea (
Table 8) (Maharjan, unpublished). Therefore, this study delivers important information on the temperature-dependent development of this polyphagous pest in Korea, which is anticipated to be valuable for the forecast modeling of the distribution expansion and population regulation of
S. litura from a climate change viewpoint [
133,
137]. The model developed based on the thermal requirements for the development of
S. litura estimated in this study might contribute to the advancement of integrated pest management strategies, including spray timing [
138,
139], with the constrained capacity of extrapolation from the laboratory-based parameter estimation [
46,
140]. Despite the fact that
Spodoptera species can only successfully breed during the summer and struggle to survive the winter on the Korean peninsula due to the extreme temperatures, rapid climate change has the potential to significantly increase population, spread, and damage [
141]. Global warming not only leads greater overwinter survival and an increase in population, but also impacts earlier emergence of insects in spring [
142]. Based on the spring emergence trend we presented, it can be said that the emergence of
S. litura is becoming earlier as time passes, and this may be mediated by global warming. Climate change impacts have been already experienced in the Miryang as winter temperature is getting warmer [
143], and earlier appearance in spring of insects has already noticed in Miryang [
144]. The spring emergence trend presented in this study is supported by our field monitoring study of
Spodoptera species. Our field monitoring study clearly showed the early emergence and damage increment in crop fields as time passed in Miryang (Maharjan, unpublished). Further, Ref. [
144] reported the earlier spring emergence of
Nysius species (Heteroptera: Lygaeidae) in Miryang. This clearly indicates the impact of climate change on the seasonal occurrence and population dynamics of insect species in Miryang. Therefore, this climate change-mediated phenomenon could accelerate higher winter survival, lead to an increase in generations, and prolong the reproductive season, and this will ultimately help bring the great risks of profound damage of crop species and increased damage coverage of crop species, and the host shifting of insects, to both the local (Miryang) and national (Korea) levels.