February 2023 On consistency and sparsity for high-dimensional functional time series with application to autoregressions
Shaojun Guo, Xinghao Qiao
Author Affiliations +
Bernoulli 29(1): 451-472 (February 2023). DOI: 10.3150/22-BEJ1464

Abstract

Modelling a large collection of functional time series arises in a broad spectral of real applications. Under such a scenario, not only the number of functional variables can be diverging with, or even larger than the number of temporally dependent functional observations, but each function itself is an infinite-dimensional object, posing a challenging task. In this paper, we propose a three-step procedure to estimate high-dimensional functional time series models. To provide theoretical guarantees for the three-step procedure, we focus on multivariate stationary processes and propose a novel functional stability measure based on their spectral properties. Such stability measure facilitates the development of some useful concentration bounds on sample (auto)covariance functions, which serve as a fundamental tool for further convergence analysis in high-dimensional settings. As functional principal component analysis (FPCA) is one of the key dimension reduction techniques in the first step, we also investigate the non-asymptotic properties of the relevant estimated terms under a FPCA framework. To illustrate with an important application, we consider vector functional autoregressive models and develop a regularization approach to estimate autoregressive coefficient functions under the sparsity constraint. Using our derived non-asymptotic results, we investigate convergence properties of the regularized estimate under high-dimensional scaling. Finally, the finite-sample performance of the proposed method is examined through both simulations and a public financial dataset.

Funding Statement

Shaojun Guo was partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 11771447).

Acknowledgements

We are grateful to the Editor, the Associate Editor and two referees for their insightful comments, which have led to significant improvement of our paper.

Citation

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Shaojun Guo. Xinghao Qiao. "On consistency and sparsity for high-dimensional functional time series with application to autoregressions." Bernoulli 29 (1) 451 - 472, February 2023. https://doi.org/10.3150/22-BEJ1464

Information

Received: 1 November 2020; Published: February 2023
First available in Project Euclid: 13 October 2022

MathSciNet: MR4497254
zbMATH: 07634399
Digital Object Identifier: 10.3150/22-BEJ1464

Keywords: functional principal component analysis , functional stability measure , high-dimensional functional time series , non-asymptotics , Sparsity , vector functional autoregression

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Vol.29 • No. 1 • February 2023
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