نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استادیار دانشکده اقتصاد دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی
2 معاون برنامه ریزی، توسعۀ شهری و امور شورای شهرداری تهران
3 دانشجوی دکترای اقتصاد
4 کارشناس ارشد اقتصاد
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The spread of the corona through two channels of declining demand and declining supply has brought the global economy to an unprecedented recession. The shock effects of the virus on the Iranian economy will be far greater due to its fragile resilience due to international sanctions. Regional and urban economies, and consequently municipal taxes, will also suffer in the same context. Estimates of this study indicate that the prevalence of corona will affect about 20.9 thousand billion tomans from the sources of 30.6 thousand billion tomans in the 1399 budget of Tehran municipality. This effect has been studied in two maximum scenarios, assuming that the virus does not disappear during the year, and the minimum scenario, assuming a 50% adjustment of the first scenario; Accordingly, in the maximum scenario of Corona 4.608 trillion Tomans and in the adjusted scenario about 2.304 trillion Tomans deficit, in excess of the annual budget deficit of Tehran Municipality will impose on the revenue sources of this organization. Meanwhile, the budget expenditures of Tehran Municipality will be directly affected by the outbreak of the corona only in the expenditure sector, and from this area, the budget expenditures will increase by only 93 million Tomans in total.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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