A New Model for Bank Stress Tests

Columbia Law School Blue Sky Blog, January 26, 2017

2 Pages Posted: 4 Jan 2019

Date Written: January 2017

Abstract

This Columbia Law School Blue Sky Blog post advocates for the introduction of a Bayesian model that takes into account prior inputs in bank stress testing. Specifically, the priors would be the previous Federal Reserve adverse scenarios. Failure to consider these prior scenarios could underestimate by as much as 25 percent a bank’s loan losses in an adverse economic scenario. This could be the difference between passing and failing a stress test.

Keywords: stress testing, Dodd Frank, banks, regulation

JEL Classification: G10

Suggested Citation

Ryznar, Margaret and Jacobs, Michael, A New Model for Bank Stress Tests (January 2017). Columbia Law School Blue Sky Blog, January 26, 2017 , Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3160472 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3160472

Michael Jacobs

PNC Financial Services Group ( email )

1 PNC Plaza, 249 5th Avenue
Pittsburgh, PA 15222-2707
United States

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