The Bond Pricing Implications of Rating-Based Capital Requirements

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Forthcoming

133 Pages Posted: 28 Jun 2017 Last revised: 25 Jan 2021

See all articles by Scott Murray

Scott Murray

Georgia State University

Stanislava (Stas) Nikolova

University of Nebraska-Lincoln

Date Written: January 24, 2021

Abstract

This paper demonstrates that rating-based capital requirements, through their impact on insurers' investment demand, affect corporate bond prices. Consistent with insurers’ low demand for investment-grade (IG) bonds with a rating close to non-investment-grade, these bonds outperform. Consistent with insurers’ high (low) demand for IG bonds with high (low) systematic risk exposure, these bonds underperform (outperform). Insurer demand, measured by insurer holdings, explains most of these pricing effects. We identify rating-based capital requirements as the driver of insurer demand, and thus the pricing effects, by showing that the effects do not exist before these requirements' implementation in 1993.

Keywords: risk-based capital, regulatory arbitrage, insurance companies, corporate bonds, credit ratings, systematic risk, asset pricing

JEL Classification: G11, G12, G14, G21, G22, G28

Suggested Citation

Murray, Scott and Nikolova, Stanislava (Stas), The Bond Pricing Implications of Rating-Based Capital Requirements (January 24, 2021). Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2993558 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2993558

Scott Murray

Georgia State University ( email )

35 Broad Street
Atlanta, GA 30303-3083
United States

Stanislava (Stas) Nikolova (Contact Author)

University of Nebraska-Lincoln ( email )

730 N. 14th Street
P.O. Box 880405
Lincoln, NE 68588-0405
United States

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