Research Article
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Year 2021, Volume: 21 Issue: 2, 81 - 91, 31.03.2021

Ömer Limanlı

https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.907349

Abstract

References

  • Acar, A. (2014). The Dynamics of Multidimensional Poverty in Turkey (BETAM Working Paper Series No. 14). Retrieved from https://betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr/2014/10/the-dynamics- of-multidimensional-poverty-in-turkey/
  • Acar, A., & Baslevent, C. (2014). Examination of the Transitions of Households into and out of Poverty in Turkey (BETAM Working Paper Series No. 15). Retrieved from https://betam. bahcesehir.edu.tr/2014/11/examination-of-the-transitions- of-households-into-and-out-of-poverty-in-turkey/
  • Antman, F., & McKenzie, D. J. (2007). Earnings Mobility and Measurement Error: A Pseudo‐Panel Approach. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 56(1), 125–161. https:// doi.org/10.1086/520561
  • Bahce, S., & Kose, A. H. (2017). Social Classes and the Neo-Liberal Poverty Regime in Turkey, 2002–2011. Journal of Contemporary Asia, 47(4), 575–595. https://doi.org/10.10 80/00472336.2017.1325919
  • Bane, M. J., & Ellwood, D. T. (1986). Slipping into and out of Poverty: The Dynamics of Spells. The Journal of Human Resources, 21(1), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.2307/145955
  • Bierbaum, M., & Gassmann, F. (2012). Chronic and Transitory Poverty in the Kyrgyz Republic: What Can Synthetic Panels Tell Us? (UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series No. 64). Retrieved from http://collections.unu.edu/eserv/UNU:425/ wp2012-064.pdf
  • Bugra, A., & Keyder, C. (2005). Poverty and Social Policy in Contemporary Turkey. Retrieved from https://pdfs. semanticscholar.org/0eaf/37807c570d98e1002831f- 265f8316c774769.pdf
  • Cruces, G., Lanjouw, P., Lucchetti, L., Perova, E., Vakis, R., & Viollaz, M. (2015). Estimating poverty transitions using repeated cross-sections: a three-country validation exercise. The Journal of Economic Inequality, 13(2), 161–179. https:// doi.org/10.1007/s10888-014-9284-9
  • Cuesta, J., Ñopo, H., & Pizzolitto, G. (2011). Using pseudo- panels to measure income mobility in Latin America. Review of Income and Wealth, 57(2), 224–246. https://doi. org/10.1111/j.1475-4991.2011.00444.x
  • Dang, H.-A. H., & Dabalen, A. L. (2018). Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data. The Journal of Development Studies, 1–21. https://doi.org/ 10.1080/00220388.2017.1417585
  • Dang, H.-A., Lanjouw, P., Luoto, J., & McKenzie, D. (2014). Using repeated cross-sections to explore movements into and out of poverty. Journal of Development Economics, 107, 112–128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2013.10.008
  • Dayioglu, M., & Demir Seker, S. (2016). Social Policy and the Dynamics of Early Childhood Poverty in Turkey. Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, 17(4), 540–557. https://doi.org/10.1080/19452829.2016.1225700
  • Deaton, A. (1985). Panel data from time series of cross-sections. Journal of Econometrics, 30(1–2), 109–126. https:// doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(85)90134-4
  • Foster, J., Greer, J., & Thorbecke, E. (1984). A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures. Econometrica, 52(3), 761–766. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913475
  • Gibson, J. (2001). Measuring chronic poverty without a panel. Journal of Development Economics, 65(2), 243–266. https:// doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3878(01)00136-5
  • Herault, N., & Jenkins, S. P. (2018). How Valid are Synthetic Panel Estimates of Poverty Dynamics? (Society for the Study of Economic Inequality Working Paper Series No. 465). Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/inq/inqwps/ ecineq2018-465.html
  • McKenzie, D. (2019). Using Repeated Cross-Sections to Explore Movements into and out of Poverty. Retrieved March 19, 2019, from http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DEC/ Resources/McKenzie_ReplicationFilesforMobility.zip
  • Seker, S. D., & Dayioglu, M. (2015). Poverty Dynamics in Turkey. Review of Income and Wealth, 61(3), 477–493. https://doi. org/10.1111/roiw.12112
  • Sigeze, C., & Sengul, S. (2018). Türkiye’de Yoksulluğun Rassal Etkiler Multinomial Logit Model ile İncelenmesi. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 20(4), 503–521. https://doi.org/10.16953/deusosbil.413034
  • UN. (2019). Millennium Development Goals - Goal 1: Eradicate Extreme Poverty & Hunger. Retrieved April 6, 2019, from https://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/poverty.shtml
  • Urzainqui, D. G. (2017). Poverty Transitions Without Panel Data? An Appraisal of Synthetic Panel Methods. In Seventh Meeting of the Society for the Study of Economic Inequality (ECINEQ). Retrieved from http://www.ecineq. org/ecineq_nyc17/FILESx2017/CR2/p447.pdf
  • Verbeek, M. (2008). Pseudo-Panels and Repeated Cross-Sections. In L. Matyas & P. Sevestre (Eds.), The Econometrics of Panel Data: Fundamentals and Recent Developments in Theory and Practice (3rd ed., pp. 369–383). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978- 3-540-75892-1_11
  • World Bank (2021). Poverty headcount ratio at $1.90 a day (2011 PPP) (% of population) - Turkey. Retrieved January 31, 2021, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/ SI.POV.DDAY?locations=TR
  • Wuripe, A. (2018). Dynamics of Government’s Role in Poverty Eradication in Turkey: A Study of the Literature. Çukurova Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 22(2), 169–193. Retrieved from http://dergipark.gov.tr/cuiibfd/issue/42702/462759
  • Yaqub, S. (2000). Poverty Dynamics in Developing Countries (Development Bibliography No. 16). Retrieved from http:// www.ophi.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/ssYaqub-2000.pdf

Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data

Year 2021, Volume: 21 Issue: 2, 81 - 91, 31.03.2021

Ömer Limanlı

https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.907349

Abstract

In order to fight poverty more effectively, it is vital to determine the extent to which households are chronic or transient poor. In this context, this paper has two aims. The first is to estimate poverty transition between 2006 and 2016 in Turkey using a newly developed synthetic panel method. With this method, the transition of poverty between two-time points can be estimated without the need for real panel data. The second aim of the study is to test how well this method works. To this end, the analysis has been performed once again by using real panel data for the years 2006-2009 and 2013-2016. The findings show that the percentage of households those who chronically poor is between 3.9% and 10.7%, the percentage of those who escaped from poverty is between 12.1% and 20.8% and the percentage of those who fall into poverty is between 5.4% and 12.2%. The analysis with actual panel data has revealed that the method works quite well.

Keywords

cross-sectional data poverty poverty transition synthetic panel Turkey

References

  • Acar, A. (2014). The Dynamics of Multidimensional Poverty in Turkey (BETAM Working Paper Series No. 14). Retrieved from https://betam.bahcesehir.edu.tr/2014/10/the-dynamics- of-multidimensional-poverty-in-turkey/
  • Acar, A., & Baslevent, C. (2014). Examination of the Transitions of Households into and out of Poverty in Turkey (BETAM Working Paper Series No. 15). Retrieved from https://betam. bahcesehir.edu.tr/2014/11/examination-of-the-transitions- of-households-into-and-out-of-poverty-in-turkey/
  • Antman, F., & McKenzie, D. J. (2007). Earnings Mobility and Measurement Error: A Pseudo‐Panel Approach. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 56(1), 125–161. https:// doi.org/10.1086/520561
  • Bahce, S., & Kose, A. H. (2017). Social Classes and the Neo-Liberal Poverty Regime in Turkey, 2002–2011. Journal of Contemporary Asia, 47(4), 575–595. https://doi.org/10.10 80/00472336.2017.1325919
  • Bane, M. J., & Ellwood, D. T. (1986). Slipping into and out of Poverty: The Dynamics of Spells. The Journal of Human Resources, 21(1), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.2307/145955
  • Bierbaum, M., & Gassmann, F. (2012). Chronic and Transitory Poverty in the Kyrgyz Republic: What Can Synthetic Panels Tell Us? (UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series No. 64). Retrieved from http://collections.unu.edu/eserv/UNU:425/ wp2012-064.pdf
  • Bugra, A., & Keyder, C. (2005). Poverty and Social Policy in Contemporary Turkey. Retrieved from https://pdfs. semanticscholar.org/0eaf/37807c570d98e1002831f- 265f8316c774769.pdf
  • Cruces, G., Lanjouw, P., Lucchetti, L., Perova, E., Vakis, R., & Viollaz, M. (2015). Estimating poverty transitions using repeated cross-sections: a three-country validation exercise. The Journal of Economic Inequality, 13(2), 161–179. https:// doi.org/10.1007/s10888-014-9284-9
  • Cuesta, J., Ñopo, H., & Pizzolitto, G. (2011). Using pseudo- panels to measure income mobility in Latin America. Review of Income and Wealth, 57(2), 224–246. https://doi. org/10.1111/j.1475-4991.2011.00444.x
  • Dang, H.-A. H., & Dabalen, A. L. (2018). Is Poverty in Africa Mostly Chronic or Transient? Evidence from Synthetic Panel Data. The Journal of Development Studies, 1–21. https://doi.org/ 10.1080/00220388.2017.1417585
  • Dang, H.-A., Lanjouw, P., Luoto, J., & McKenzie, D. (2014). Using repeated cross-sections to explore movements into and out of poverty. Journal of Development Economics, 107, 112–128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2013.10.008
  • Dayioglu, M., & Demir Seker, S. (2016). Social Policy and the Dynamics of Early Childhood Poverty in Turkey. Journal of Human Development and Capabilities, 17(4), 540–557. https://doi.org/10.1080/19452829.2016.1225700
  • Deaton, A. (1985). Panel data from time series of cross-sections. Journal of Econometrics, 30(1–2), 109–126. https:// doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(85)90134-4
  • Foster, J., Greer, J., & Thorbecke, E. (1984). A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures. Econometrica, 52(3), 761–766. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913475
  • Gibson, J. (2001). Measuring chronic poverty without a panel. Journal of Development Economics, 65(2), 243–266. https:// doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3878(01)00136-5
  • Herault, N., & Jenkins, S. P. (2018). How Valid are Synthetic Panel Estimates of Poverty Dynamics? (Society for the Study of Economic Inequality Working Paper Series No. 465). Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/inq/inqwps/ ecineq2018-465.html
  • McKenzie, D. (2019). Using Repeated Cross-Sections to Explore Movements into and out of Poverty. Retrieved March 19, 2019, from http://siteresources.worldbank.org/DEC/ Resources/McKenzie_ReplicationFilesforMobility.zip
  • Seker, S. D., & Dayioglu, M. (2015). Poverty Dynamics in Turkey. Review of Income and Wealth, 61(3), 477–493. https://doi. org/10.1111/roiw.12112
  • Sigeze, C., & Sengul, S. (2018). Türkiye’de Yoksulluğun Rassal Etkiler Multinomial Logit Model ile İncelenmesi. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 20(4), 503–521. https://doi.org/10.16953/deusosbil.413034
  • UN. (2019). Millennium Development Goals - Goal 1: Eradicate Extreme Poverty & Hunger. Retrieved April 6, 2019, from https://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/poverty.shtml
  • Urzainqui, D. G. (2017). Poverty Transitions Without Panel Data? An Appraisal of Synthetic Panel Methods. In Seventh Meeting of the Society for the Study of Economic Inequality (ECINEQ). Retrieved from http://www.ecineq. org/ecineq_nyc17/FILESx2017/CR2/p447.pdf
  • Verbeek, M. (2008). Pseudo-Panels and Repeated Cross-Sections. In L. Matyas & P. Sevestre (Eds.), The Econometrics of Panel Data: Fundamentals and Recent Developments in Theory and Practice (3rd ed., pp. 369–383). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978- 3-540-75892-1_11
  • World Bank (2021). Poverty headcount ratio at $1.90 a day (2011 PPP) (% of population) - Turkey. Retrieved January 31, 2021, from https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/ SI.POV.DDAY?locations=TR
  • Wuripe, A. (2018). Dynamics of Government’s Role in Poverty Eradication in Turkey: A Study of the Literature. Çukurova Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 22(2), 169–193. Retrieved from http://dergipark.gov.tr/cuiibfd/issue/42702/462759
  • Yaqub, S. (2000). Poverty Dynamics in Developing Countries (Development Bibliography No. 16). Retrieved from http:// www.ophi.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/ssYaqub-2000.pdf
There are 25 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Political Science
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Ömer Limanlı 0000-0002-6897-4253

Publication Date March 31, 2021
Acceptance Date February 27, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 21 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Limanlı, Ö. (2021). Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data. Ege Academic Review, 21(2), 81-91. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.907349
AMA Limanlı Ö. Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data. ear. March 2021;21(2):81-91. doi:10.21121/eab.907349
Chicago Limanlı, Ömer. “Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data”. Ege Academic Review 21, no. 2 (March 2021): 81-91. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.907349.
EndNote Limanlı Ö (March 1, 2021) Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data. Ege Academic Review 21 2 81–91.
IEEE Ö. Limanlı, “Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data”, ear, vol. 21, no. 2, pp. 81–91, 2021, doi: 10.21121/eab.907349.
ISNAD Limanlı, Ömer. “Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data”. Ege Academic Review 21/2 (March 2021), 81-91. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.907349.
JAMA Limanlı Ö. Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data. ear. 2021;21:81–91.
MLA Limanlı, Ömer. “Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data”. Ege Academic Review, vol. 21, no. 2, 2021, pp. 81-91, doi:10.21121/eab.907349.
Vancouver Limanlı Ö. Estimating Poverty Transitions in Turkey Using Repeated Cross-Sectional Data. ear. 2021;21(2):81-9.
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