電気学会論文誌B(電力・エネルギー部門誌)
Online ISSN : 1348-8147
Print ISSN : 0385-4213
ISSN-L : 0385-4213
特集論文
太陽光発電システム群合計出力の短周期変動特性を考慮したUC-EDCモデルの構築
加藤 丈佳真鍋 勇介舟橋 俊久杉村 修平栗本 宗明鈴置 保雄
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2016 年 136 巻 5 号 p. 505-514

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Large error of a day-ahead forecast of aggregated power output of photovoltaic power systems (PVS) can threaten power supply-demand balance in electric power system. When the forecast error is large, the power supply flexibility such as load-frequency control (LFC) resources would be exhausted to maintain supply-demand balance. Such a situation should be taken into account in an impact assessment of a day-ahead forecast error by using UC-EDC simulation model. Based on the availability of several minutes interval data of electricity demand and spatial average irradiance, this study proposes a UC-EDC simulation model including constraints on actually required LFC resources. As a result, because power supply resources can be used as much as possible for supply-demand balancing, electricity supply shortage and surplus are smaller than those in a conventional simulation model including constraints on fixed amount of LFC resources regardless of the real fluctuation levels.

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