構造工学論文集 A
Online ISSN : 1881-820X
設計工学
点検結果に基づく劣化予測のためのマルコフ遷移確率推定方法に関する一考察
近田 康夫鈴木 慎也小川 福嗣
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2015 年 61A 巻 p. 70-80

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Because of various conditional inspection data, some procedures have been reported for calculating the Markov transition probability for deterioration prediction. In this paper, it is tried to verify the property of those calculation procedures based on the given data in simple Markov process. In this paper, 3 proposed procedures are verified. Based on enough amount of data, those 3 procedures give almost equal transition probabilities. But, in the case that the numbers of data of each deterioration level have deviations, those 3 procedures give the transition probabilities which have differences not to be disregarded.

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© 2015 公益社団法人 土木学会
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