Scaling detection in time series: Diffusion entropy analysis

Nicola Scafetta and Paolo Grigolini
Phys. Rev. E 66, 036130 – Published 25 September 2002
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Abstract

The methods currently used to determine the scaling exponent of a complex dynamic process described by a time series are based on the numerical evaluation of variance. This means that all of them can be safely applied only to the case where ordinary statistical properties hold true even if strange kinetics are involved. We illustrate a method of statistical analysis based on the Shannon entropy of the diffusion process generated by the time series, called diffusion entropy analysis (DEA). We adopt artificial Gauss and Lévy time series, as prototypes of ordinary and anomalous statistics, respectively, and we analyze them with the DEA and four ordinary methods of analysis, some of which are very popular. We show that the DEA determines the correct scaling exponent even when the statistical properties, as well as the dynamic properties, are anomalous. The other four methods produce correct results in the Gauss case but fail to detect the correct scaling in the case of Lévy statistics.

  • Received 31 January 2002

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.66.036130

©2002 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Nicola Scafetta1,2 and Paolo Grigolini2,3,4

  • 1Pratt School EE Department, Duke University, P.O. Box 90291, Durham, North Carolina 27708
  • 2Center for Nonlinear Science, University of North Texas, P.O. Box 311427, Denton, Texas 76203-1427
  • 3Dipartimento di Fisica dell’Università di Pisa and INFM, Via Buonarroti 2, 56127 Pisa, Italy
  • 4Istituto di Biofisica CNR, Area della Ricerca di Pisa, Via Alfieri 1, San Cataldo 56010, Ghezzano-Pisa, Italy

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Issue

Vol. 66, Iss. 3 — September 2002

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