Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • News & Views
  • Published:

MITIGATION PATHWAY

The question of overshoot

Nature Climate Change volume 11, pages 1021–1022 (2021)Cite this article

Subjects

Most emissions scenarios in line with the Paris Agreement have shown a large amount of net-negative CO2 emissions during the second half of this century. A new set of scenarios expands this picture.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Relevant articles

Open Access articles citing this article.

Access options

Buy this article

  • Purchase on Springer Link
  • Instant access to full article PDF
Buy now

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Fig. 1: Three examples of the types of pathways leading to the same cumulative CO2 emissions in 2100.

References

  1. Rogelj, J. et al. in IPCC Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5° C (eds Masson-Delmotte, V. et al.) Ch. 2 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2018).

  2. Riahi, K. et al. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01215-2 (2021)

  3. Drouet, L. et al. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01218-z (2021).

  4. IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis (eds Masson-Delmotte, V. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2021).

  5. Matthews, H. D. et al. Nat. Geosci. 13, 769–779 (2020).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. Tokarska, K. B. et al. Earths Future 7, 1283–1295 (2019).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Azar, C. et al. Environ. Res. Lett. 8, 034004 (2013).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  8. Tanaka, K. & O’Neill, B. Nat. Clim. Change 8, 319–324 (2018).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  9. Rogelj, J. et al. Nature 573, 357–363 (2019).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  10. Johansson, D. J. A. et al. Environ. Res. Lett. 15, 124024 (2020).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  11. Vinichenko, V., Cherp, A. & Jewell, J. One Earth 4, 1477–1490 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Moss, R. et al. Nat. Clim. Change 463, 747–756 (2010).

    CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

This publication was funded by The Swedish Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research through the Mistra Carbon Exit program. C. Azar, I. Gunnarsson and J. Morfeldt are acknowledged for providing useful comments.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Division of Physical Resource Theory, Department of Space Earth, and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Göteborg, Sweden

    Daniel J. A. Johansson

Authors
  1. Daniel J. A. Johansson
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Daniel J. A. Johansson.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The author declares no competing interests.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Johansson, D.J.A. The question of overshoot. Nat. Clim. Chang. 11, 1021–1022 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01229-w

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01229-w

This article is cited by

Search

Advanced search

Quick links

Nature Briefing

Sign up for the Nature Briefing newsletter — what matters in science, free to your inbox daily.

Get the most important science stories of the day, free in your inbox. Sign up for Nature Briefing