Abstract
Predicting the impacts of present global warming requires an understanding of the factors controlling plant biomass and production. The extent to which they are controlled by bottom-up drivers such as climate, nutrient and water availability, and by top-down drivers such as herbivory and diseases in terrestrial systems is still under debate1. By annually recording plant biomass and community composition in grazed control plots and in herbivore-free exclosures, at 12 sites in a subArctic ecosystem, we were able to show that the regular interannual density fluctuations of voles and lemmings drive synchronous interannual fluctuations in the biomass of field-layer vegetation. Plant biomass in the field layer was between 12 and 24% lower the year after a vole peak than the year before, and the combined vole and lemming peaks are visible as a reduced normalized difference vegetation index in satellite images over a 770 km2 area in the following year, despite the wide range of abiotic, biotic and anthropogenic forces that influence the vegetation2,3,4,5. This strongly suggests that the cascading effect of rodents for the function and diversity of tundra plant communities needs to be included in our scenarios of how these ecosystems will respond to environmental changes.
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Acknowledgements
The authors are grateful to staff at Abisko Scientific Research Station for their assistance in making this study possible. We thank L. Oksanen for discussions. The work was financially supported by the Nordic Centre of Excellence—Tundra, the European Commission (ENV4-CT97-0586), the Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Science and Spatial Planning to J.O. (2006-1539) and T.V.C. (214-2008-188 and 214-2009-389) and the Research Council of Norway to H.T. (216434/E10).
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J.O. managed the long-term herbivore exclosure experiment and carried out plant measurements in the field. H.T. carried out the image processing and the NDVI estimations from satellite images. J.O. carried out the statistical analyses and wrote the manuscript, to which all authors contributed with discussions and text.
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Olofsson, J., Tømmervik, H. & Callaghan, T. Vole and lemming activity observed from space. Nature Clim Change 2, 880–883 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1537
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1537
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