Skip to main content
Log in

Endogenous Selection of Institutions and Their Exogenous Effects

  • Published:
Constitutional Political Economy Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Institutions shape social outcomes, yet institutions themselves are products of political choices. When institutional choices are determined by the same political and social processes that they shape, institutions are endogenously selected. Here I address the question of whether this endogenous institutional selection necessarily implies endogenous institutional effects. If it does, the use of institutional parameters as independent variables explaining policy outcomes and properties of the resulting political regimes, widespread in the literature on comparative political institutions, is hard to justify. I argue, however, that strategic choice of the rules of the game implies designers' ability to obtain their preferred institutional effects only under conditions of complete information. Under incomplete information, ex-post institutional effects do not need to be endogenous, since at the time of designing the rules the designers were not in position to control the selection of these effects. The reason why the choice of the rules does not imply the choice of their effects lies in the intervening and interactive (rather than additive) role played by the environmental parameters, including players' own characteristics, that are not revealed at the time of the institutional choice. Additionally to the model which illustrates the logic of the argument and the workings of intervening structural effects, I find supporting evidence in the processes of design of election laws in post-communist Europe, where stages of design and implementation followed each other in a very quick succession yet were characterized by substantial changes in manifested institutional preferences of the key political players.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Ackerman, Bruce (1992) The Future of Liberal Revolution. New Haven: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bartolini, Stefano, and Mair, Peter (1990) Identity, Competition, and Electoral Availability: The Stabilization of European Electorates 1885–1985. Cambridge England New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bawn, Kathleen (1993) “The Logic of Institutional Preferences: German Electoral Law as a Social Choice Outcome.” American Journal of Political Science 37(4): 965–89.

    Google Scholar 

  • Belin, Laura, and Orttung, Robert W. (1997) The Russian Parliamentary Elections of (1995): The Battle for the Duma, The OMRI Books. Armonk: M.E. Sharpe.

    Google Scholar 

  • Benoit, Kenneth, and Hayden, Jacqueline (2001) Institutional Change and Persistence: The Origins and Evolution of Poland's Electoral System 1989 1999. Paper presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, April 19–22, 2001.

  • Benoit, Kenneth, and Schiemann, John W. (1995) Electoral System Origins: Institutional Choice in Hungary. Paper presented at the Northeastern Political Science Association Meeting, Newark, NJ, November 9–11, 1995.

  • Benoit, Kenneth, and Schiemann, John W. (2001) “Institutional Choice in New Democracies: Bargaining Over Hungary's 1989 Electoral Law.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 13(2): 153–82.

    Google Scholar 

  • Boix, Carles (1999) “Setting the Rules of the Game: The Choice of Electoral Systems in Advanced Democracies.” American Political Science Review 93(3): 609–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brady, David, and Mo, Jongryn (1992) “Strategy and Choice in the 1988 National Assembly Election of Korea.” Comparative Political Studies 24(4): 405–29.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brennan, Geoffrey, and Buchanan, James M. (1985) The Reason of Rules: Constitutional Political Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brennan, Geoffrey, and Hamlin, Alan (2001) “Constitutional Choice.” In: Shugart, W., and Razzolini, L. (eds.) The Elgar Companion to Public Choice. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

    Google Scholar 

  • Buchanan, James M., and Tullock, Gordon (1962) The Calculus of Consent, Logical Foundations of Constitutional Government. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Carey (1997) “Institutional Design and Party Systems.” In: Diamond, L., Plattner, M., Chu, Y.-h., and Tien, H.-m. (eds.) Consolidating the Third Wave Democracies. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Colton, Timothy, and Hough, Jerry (1998) Growing Pains. Washington D.C.: The Brookings Institution.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cox, Gary (1997) Making Votes Count: Strategic Coordination in the World's Electoral Systems. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Crawford, Beverly, and Lijphart, Arend (1995) “Explaining Political and Economic Change in Post-Communist Eastern Europe.” Comparative Political Studies 28(2): 171–99.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dunleavy, P., and Margetts, H. (1995) “Understanding the Dynamics of Electoral Reform.” International Political Science Review 16(1): 9–30.

    Google Scholar 

  • Elster, Jon, Offe, Claus, and Preuss, Ulrich (1998) Institutional Design in Post-Communist Societies: Rebuilding the Ship at Sea. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Evans, Geoffrey, and Whitefield, Stephen (1993) “Identifying the Bases of Party Competition in Eastern Europe.” British Journal of Political Science 23(4): 521–48.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frye, Timothy (1997) “Politics of Institutional Choice: Post-communist Presidencies.” Comparative Political Studies 39(5): 523–52.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frye, Timothy (2002) “Presidents, Parliaments, and Democracy: Insights from the Post-Communist World.” In: Reynolds, A. (ed.) The Architecture of Democracy: Institutional Design, Conflict Management, and Democracy in the Late Twentieth Century. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Garber, Larry, and Bjornlund, Eric (1992) The New Democratic Frontier: A Country by Country Report on Elections in Central and Eastern Europe. Washington, DC: National Democratic Institute for International Affairs.

    Google Scholar 

  • Geddes, Barbara (1995) “A Comparative Perspective on the Leninist Legacy in Eastern Europe.” Comparative Political Studies 28(2): 239–74.

    Google Scholar 

  • Geddes, Barbara (1996) “Initiation of New Democratic Institutions in Eastern Europe and Latin America.” In: Lijphart, A., and Waisman, C. (eds.) Institutional Design in New Democracies: Eastern Europe and Latin America. Westview Press.

  • Grofman, Bernard, and Lijphart, Arend (1986) Electoral Laws and their Political Consequences. New York: Agathon Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harsanyi, John (1967) “Games with Incomplete Information Played by ‘Bayesian’ Players.” Management Science 14: 159–82, 320-34, 486-502.

    Google Scholar 

  • Horowitz, Shale, and Browne, Eric C. (2003) “Causes and Consequences of Post-Communist Party System Consolidation: The Role of Ideology.” Paper presented at Global Political Economy Data Conference, Claremont Institute for Economic Policy Studies, Claremont, CA, April 11–12.

  • Ishiyama, John (1997) “Transitional Electoral Systems in Post-Communist Eastern Europe.” Political Science Quarterly 112(1): 95–115.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaminski, Marek (1999) “How Communism could have been Saved: Formal Analysis of Electoral Bargaining in Poland in (1989).” Public Choice 98: 83–109.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaminski, Marek (2002) “Do Parties Benefit from Electoral Manipulation? Electoral Laws and Heresthetics in Poland, 1989–93.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 14(3): 325–58.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kitschelt, Herbert (1992) “The Formation of Party Systems in East Central Europe.” Politics & Society 20(1): 7–50.

    Google Scholar 

  • Knight, Jack (1992) Institutions and Social Conflict. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Latynski, Maya (1992) “Poland: May 27, 1990.” In: The New Democratic Frontier: A Country by Country Report on Elections in Central and Eastern Europe. National Democratic Institute for International Affairs.

  • Levi, Margaret (1988) Of Rule and Revenue. Berkeley: University of California Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lijphart, Arend (1992) “Democratization and Constitutional Choices in Czecho-slovakia, Hungary and Poland, 1989–91.” Journal of Theoretical Politics 4(2): 207–23.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lijphart, Arend (1994) Electoral Systems and Party Systems: A Study of Twenty-Seven Democracies, 1945–1990, Comparative European Politics. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lipset, Seymour Martin, and Rokkan, Stein (1967) Party Systems and Voter Alignments: Cross-national Perspectives. New York: Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Millard, Frances (2002) Elections in Poland 2001: Party Chaos and Electoral Manipulation. Paper prepared for the BASEES Annual Conference, Cambridge, 8 April 2002.

  • Moraski, Bryonand, and Loewenberg, Gerhard (1999) “The Effect of Legal Thresholds on the Revival of Former Communist Parties in East-Central Europe.” Journal of Politics 61(1): 151–70.

    Google Scholar 

  • Myerson, Roger (1991) Game Theory: Analysis of Conflict. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Norris, Pippa (1995) “The Politics of Electoral Reform.” International Political Science Review 16(1): 3–8.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ordeshook, Peter C., and Shvetsova, Olga (1994) “Ethnic Heterogeneity, District Magnitude, and the Number of Parties.” American Journal of Political Science 38(1): 100–23.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pierson, Paul (1996) “The Path to European Integration: A Historical Institutionalist Analysis.” Comparative Political Studies 29(2): 123–63.

    Google Scholar 

  • Przeworski, Adam (1991) Democracy and the Market: Political and Economic Reforms in Eastern Europe and Latin America. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Quintal, David (1970) “The Theory of Electoral Systems.” Western Political Quarterly 73: 752–53.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rawls, John (1971) A Theory of Justice. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Remington, Thomas, and Smith, Steven (1996) “Political Goals, Institutional Context, and the Choice of an Electoral System: The Russian Parliamentary Election Law.” American Journal of Political Science 40(4): 1253–79.

    Google Scholar 

  • Riker, William (1980) “Implications from the Disequilibrium of Majority Rule for the Study of Institutions.” American Political Science Review 74(2): 432–46.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shamir, Michael (1984) “Are Western Party Systems “Frozen”? A Comparative Dynamic Analysis.” Comparative Political Studies 17(1): 35–79.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shamir, Michael (1985) “Changes in Electoral Systems as ‘Interventions:’ Another Test of Duverger's Hypothesis.” European Journal of Political Research 13: 1–10.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shugart, Matthew (1992) “Electoral Reform in Systems of Proportional Representation.” European Journal of Political Research 21: 207–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stein, Eric (1997) Czecho-Slovakia: Ethnic Conflict, Constitutional Fissure, Negotiated Breakup. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Taagapera, Rein (2002) “Designing Electoral Rules and Waiting for an Electoral System to Evolve.” In: Reynolds, A. (ed.) The Architecture of Democracy: Institutional Design, Conflict Management, and Democracy in the Late Twentieth Century. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Taagepera, Rein, and Shugart, Matthew (1989) Seats and Votes: The Effects and Determinants of Electoral Systems. New Haven: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tókés, Rudolf L. (1996) Hungary's Negotiated Revolution: Economic Reform, Social Change, and Political Succession, 1957-1990. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tsebelis, George (1990) Nested Games: Rational Choice in Comparative Politics. Berkeley: University of California Press.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Shvetsova, O. Endogenous Selection of Institutions and Their Exogenous Effects. Constitutional Political Economy 14, 191–212 (2003). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024702528927

Download citation

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1024702528927

Navigation