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4 - Factor Separation Methodology and paleoclimates

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 May 2011

A. Berger
Affiliation:
Universitá Catholique de Louvain, Belgium
M. Claussen
Affiliation:
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany
Q. Yin
Affiliation:
Université Catholique de Louvain, Belgium
Pinhas Alpert
Affiliation:
Tel-Aviv University
Tatiana Sholokhman
Affiliation:
Tel-Aviv University
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Summary

The relative contribution of the individual forcings, the feedbacks and the synergisms can be quantified by using different techniques, such as the Alpert–Stein Factor Separation Methodology (here abbreviated FS; Stein and Alpert, 1993) or other feedback analyses. In an attempt to better understand the role of the temperature–albedo feedback of the greenhouse gases (water vapour and CO2), and of the insolation at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), several sensitivity experiments have been made with a radiative convective model (Berger et al., 1993) and results discussed using both the classical feedback analysis and FS methodology. The LGM cooling is simulated to be 4.5 °C, of which 3°C is in response to the insolation–albedo forcing and 1.5 °C is from the CO2 forcing. In these experiments, the water vapour feedback (WVF) is included, but the synergisms appear to be very small. The direct influence of the insolation–albedo forcing is a cooling of 1.8 °C, on top of which the WVF adds 1.2 °C.The remaining 1.5 °C is due to the CO2 forcing, of which 0.9 °C comes from its direct influence and 0.6 °C is due to the WVF feedback.

The FS methodology and a generalisation of the classical linear feedback analysis technique are also used to identify the individual contributions of climatic factors and of their synergism to the Holocene climate change signal.

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Chapter
Information
Factor Separation in the Atmosphere
Applications and Future Prospects
, pp. 28 - 52
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2011

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