Elsevier

Thrombosis Research

Volume 127, Issue 6, June 2011, Pages 535-539
Thrombosis Research

Regular Article
Comparison of the diagnostic performance of the original and modified Wells score in inpatients and outpatients with suspected deep vein thrombosis

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.thromres.2011.02.008Get rights and content

Abstract

Introduction

The original and modified Wells score are widely used prediction rules for pre-test probability assessment of deep vein thrombosis (DVT). The objective of this study was to compare the predictive performance of both Wells scores in unselected patients with clinical suspicion of DVT.

Methods

Consecutive inpatients and outpatients with a clinical suspicion of DVT were prospectively enrolled. Pre-test DVT probability (low/intermediate/high) was determined using both scores. Patients with a non-high probability based on the original Wells score underwent D-dimers measurement. Patients with D-dimers < 500 μg/L did not undergo further testing, and treatment was withheld. All others underwent complete lower limb compression ultrasound, and those diagnosed with DVT were anticoagulated. The primary study outcome was objectively confirmed symptomatic venous thromboembolism within 3 months of enrollment.

Results

298 patients with suspected DVT were included. Of these, 82 (27.5%) had DVT, and 46 of them were proximal. Compared to the modified score, the original Wells score classified a higher proportion of patients as low-risk (53 vs 48%; p < 0.01) and a lower proportion as high-risk (17 vs 15%; p = 0.02); the prevalence of proximal DVT in each category was similar with both scores (7-8% low, 16-19% intermediate, 36-37% high). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve regarding proximal DVT detection was similar for both scores, but they both performed poorly in predicting isolated distal DVT and DVT in inpatients.

Conclusion

The study demonstrates that both Wells scores perform equally well in proximal DVT pre-test probability prediction. Neither score appears to be particularly useful in hospitalized patients and those with isolated distal DVT.

Introduction

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common problem in ambulatory and hospitalized patients. Untreated DVT may lead to potentially fatal pulmonary embolism (PE). On the other hand, unjustified anticoagulation therapy poses a risk for bleeding [1]. Correct diagnosis and prompt treatment are therefore crucial. Unfortunately, symptoms and signs of DVT are unspecific. Less than 25% of patients with clinically suspected DVT do actually have the disease [2], [3], underscoring the importance of accurate diagnostic strategies. Several clinical prediction rules have been developed and validated in various populations to simplify and improve the diagnostic process of patients with suspected DVT [4], [5], [6], [7], [8], [9]. Diagnostic strategies based on combining pretest probability with D-dimers measurements have been shown to be safe and cost-effective [10], leading to a significant reduction of ultrasound examinations [5], [11], [12].

The best validated prediction rule is the Wells score, consisting of nine clinical items (Table 1) [6]. This score has been developed in ambulatory patients addressed to a tertiary care center for a suspected first episode of proximal and distal lower limb DVT [6], [13], [14]. It has been subsequently validated in the emergency department, and the hospital setting [4], [11], [15]. More recently, Wells and colleagues published a modified score, adding an item for previously documented DVT [5]. This modified Wells score has been validated in outpatients [5], and emergency department patients only [8]. The aim of this prospective cohort study was to compare the accuracy of the two scores in predicting proximal and isolated distal DVT in a broad, unselected population of ambulatory and hospitalized patients with suspected DVT.

Section snippets

Patients

Consecutive patients, ≥ 18 years of age, with clinically suspected lower limbs DVT addressed to the thrombosis consultation of the vascular medicine service of a teaching hospital were potentially eligible for the present study. Outpatients presenting to the emergency department or directly referred by their general practitioner and inpatients referred by their physician in charge were eligible.

Exclusion criteria were as follows: clinical suspicion of PE, treatment with therapeutic

Results

Between May 4, 2007 and May 31, 2009, 447 consecutive patients with clinically suspected DVT of the lower limbs were screened. 149 patients were excluded because at least 1 of the predefined exclusion criteria was present (clinical suspicion of PE: 39; treatment with therapeutic anticoagulation for more than 48 hours prior to inclusion: 31; planned long-term anticoagulation for a diagnosis other than VTE: 22; pregnancy: 17; life expectancy less than 3 months: 5; unwillingness or inability to

Discussion

Our results demonstrate that original and modified Wells scores are similarly accurate in determining pre-test probability in patients with clinical suspicion of lower limb DVT. While both scores performed well in patients with proximal DVT, the discriminatory power in patients with isolated distal DVT was much lower. Both scores performed rather poorly in inpatients.

Because the modified Wells score comprises an additional variable (previously documented DVT), it classified significantly more

Conflict of interest statement

No conflict of interest to declare.

Acknowledgements

The authors wish to thank Monique Salvi for her excellent technical assistance as well as all the physicians of the division of angiology for performing the ultrasound examinations. This study was financially supported by a grant from Cardiomet.

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