New target fisheries lead to spatially variable food web effects in an ecosystem model of the California Current
Introduction
Anthropogenic stressors on ecosystems have never been greater. Demands for food and freshwater have led to increased fishing (Anticamara et al., 2011), changes in land use patterns (Allan, 2004), and greater regulation of flows in rivers (Caissie, 2006). As pressure to extract resources builds, managers are increasingly confronting trade-offs between the direct value of the extracted resource and the indirect value of the resource left in the ecosystem (Rodriguez et al., 2006, Lester et al., 2010). Understanding these trade-offs requires approaches that can predict the indirect effects of targeted resource extraction on the rest of the ecosystem.
In marine ecosystems, demands for fish and fishmeal have led to fishing activities targeting more species than in previous decades (Alder et al., 2008, Branch et al., 2010, Anderson et al., 2011). Often, new target species have low trophic levels, are important prey species for higher trophic level species that are of commercial importance and/or conservation concern. Therefore, a trade-off exists between the value of harvesting these forage species and the value of leaving them as prey for other species in the ecosystem. On the US West Coast, fishing limits have been put into place to protect high biomass, low trophic level species such as krill and anchovy (Pacific Fishery Management Council, 1978, Pacific Fishery Management Council, 2008). These rules seek to protect from ecosystem overfishing and maintain the prey base for species that are the targets of existing fisheries.
Recently, the effect of adding new fisheries for low trophic level species that constitute large proportions of the biomass of marine ecosystems has been the target of much research (Cury et al., 2011, Smith et al., 2011, Kaplan et al., 2013a, Kaplan et al., 2013b). These efforts often focus on species or groups with high biomass, while low biomass species or groups are more easily overlooked. Fishing on low biomass groups may indeed have few impacts on food webs if those species are functionally redundant to high-biomass prey groups (Walker, 1992). However, removals of low biomass groups may have disproportionately large impacts, depending on their role in the ecosystem and spatial distribution and overlap of predators and prey. For example, central place foragers, like many seabirds, depend on locally abundant seasonal prey resources (Ainley et al., 2009, Pichegru et al., 2010, Cury et al., 2011). Fluctuations in these resources over small spatial and temporal scales could have severe impacts on populations that rely on them, even if a prey contributes low proportions to the overall seabird diet over the course of a year when compared to other potential prey species (Hipfner, 2009).
In this study, we investigated the effects of targeted fisheries on relatively low biomass functional groups in a large marine ecosystem. Similar to previous modeling studies, we report biomass responses of species in the food web. However this work is novel in that we also explore regional variation in biomass impacts, as well as ecosystem-wide effects. We investigated target species that were broadly and narrowly distributed across the ecosystem to explore the effects of spatial variation in the food web on the impacts of fishery development.
The California Current Large Marine Ecosystem (CCLME) and its associated fisheries provide an excellent example system to investigate how future fishery development could affect existing fishery yields and food web biomass distribution. The largest fleet in the ecosystem, the US west coast groundfish fishery, uses midwater and bottom gear to target 90 species of flatfish, rockfish, and roundfish. Four of these stocks are currently overfished and subject to rebuilding plans. Coastal pelagic fisheries target sardine, mackerel, anchovy and squid. To protect the pelagic prey base, krill fishing is completely banned, and sardine catch limits are set to maintain a minimum of 150,000 mt (Pacific Fishery Management Council, 2006).
Here, we explore the potential effects of fishery development targeting new species with lower biomass than species previously investigated by others (Smith et al., 2011, Kaplan et al., 2013a, Kaplan et al., 2013b). We created ecological forecasts under new fishing scenarios using an Atlantis ecosystem model for the California Current (Horne et al., 2010, Kaplan et al., 2012). Using these forecasts we explored the impacts of new fishery development on the coast-wide and regional distribution of other functional groups in the model. We describe how variation in the distributions of target and non-target species affects impacts of fisheries in a spatially heterogeneous ecosystem.
Section snippets
Model framework
Atlantis is a three dimensional, spatially explicit ecosystem model, comprised of three sub-models (Fig. 1, Fulton et al., 2004). The oceanographic sub-model simulates physical transport using output from a Regional Ocean Modeling System to track temperature, salinity, and circulation. The ecological sub-model captures nitrogen and silicon dynamics through trophic interactions among cells, representing functional groups from bacteria and plankton to fish and marine mammals. The human impacts
Results
We found both general and fishery- and region-specific effects of developing fisheries for three low biomass, low trophic level groups. In this section, we first briefly describe the impacts of the three new fisheries on the species they targeted. Next, we describe patterns of ecosystem response at the coast-wide scale across all fisheries. Last, we describe regional variation in impacts across and within the fisheries.
Discussion
Our analysis of the ecosystem effects of developing new fisheries for new low biomass target species or functional groups in the CCLME showed minimal coast-wide impacts, but dramatic regional variation in the number and magnitude of effects. Only 6 of 62 functional groups were affected at the coast-wide scale, and most of these effects were positive (ranging from −2 to 16 percent change). In contrast, at a more local scale, individual model cells and regions showed impacts of greater than 20
Acknowledgements
K. Marshall was supported by a postdoctoral fellowship from the National Research Council (NRC) at NOAA Fisheries. We thank four anonymous reviewers for feedback that improved this manuscript. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not reflect those of NOAA NMFS.
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