Electronic Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses
Placebo Response Rates in Trials of Licensed Drugs for Irritable Bowel Syndrome With Constipation or Diarrhea: Meta-analysis

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2021.08.025Get rights and content

Background & Aims

There are several licensed drugs for irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) that have proven efficacy in randomized controlled trials (RCTs), but placebo response rates are high. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of licensed drugs to estimate magnitude of placebo response rate according to Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-recommended endpoints and to assess how this varies with stringency of the endpoint used to define response.

Methods

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE CLASSIC and EMBASE, and the Cochrane central register of controlled trials (through January 2021) to identify RCTs comparing licensed drugs with placebo in adult IBS patients. Studies assessed efficacy according to at least one of composite response, abdominal pain response, or stool response. Data were extracted as intention-to-treat analyses, with dropouts assumed to be treatment failures and pooled using a random-effects model.

Results

There were 17 RCTs of licensed drugs versus placebo in IBS with constipation (4603 patients placebo) and 17 trials in IBS with diarrhea (3908 patients placebo). In IBS with constipation, according to FDA criteria, pooled composite, abdominal pain, and stool response rates with placebo over ≥6 of 12 weeks were 18.9%, 34.6%, and 30.1%, respectively. Evaluating response rates over ≥9 of 12 weeks led to placebo response rates of 4.3% for the composite endpoint, 24.5% for abdominal pain, and 7.7% for stool. In IBS with diarrhea, pooled placebo response rates according to FDA criteria were 16.2% for the composite endpoint, 40.2% for abdominal pain, and 16.2% for stool. Increasing the threshold used to define abdominal pain response from ≥30% improvement to ≥40% or ≥50% led to lower placebo response rates of 34.5% and 23.4%.

Conclusions

Future RCTs should adhere to current FDA-recommended endpoints for IBS because these lead to lower placebo response rates. However, consideration should be given to further refining some of these to better differentiate between active drug and placebo.

Section snippets

Search Strategy and Study Selection

We searched the medical literature using MEDLINE (1946–January 2021), EMBASE CLASSIC and EMBASE (1947–January 2021), and the Cochrane central register of controlled trials (Issue 2, January 2021). To identify potentially eligible studies published only in abstract form, we searched conference proceedings (Digestive Disease Week, American College of Gastroenterology, and United European Gastroenterology Week) between 2010 and 2020. We also searched clinicaltrials.gov to obtain data from

Results

We updated our previous systematic reviews and meta-analyses of licensed drugs for IBS-C and IBS-D.6, 7, 8 The search strategy generated 4334 citations, 136 of which appeared to be relevant. Thirty of these fulfilled eligibility criteria (Figure 1). Of these, 15 articles reported on 17 RCTs of licensed drugs versus placebo in IBS-C,15, 16, 17, 18,20,21,26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34 and 15 articles reported on 17 trials in IBS-D.19,22,23,35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46 The 17

Discussion

We have conducted an up-to-date systematic review and meta-analysis of licensed drugs for IBS-C and IBS-D to estimate magnitude of the placebo response rate according to FDA-recommended endpoints, as well as to assess how this varies with stringency of the endpoint used. In IBS-C, pooled placebo response rates and NNTs were similar for both the composite endpoint and abdominal pain, irrespective of whether trials used strict FDA criteria. In both cases, placebo response rates fell substantially

CRediT Authorship Contributions

Brigida Barberio, MD (Conceptualization: Lead; Data curation: Lead; Formal analysis: Lead; Investigation: Lead; Methodology: Lead; Writing – original draft: Lead)

Edoardo Vincenzo Savarino, PhD (Conceptualization: Supporting; Investigation: Supporting; Methodology: Supporting; Supervision: Supporting; Writing – original draft: Supporting)

Christopher J. Black, MBBS (Hons) (Conceptualization: Lead; Data curation: Lead; Formal analysis: Supporting; Investigation: Lead; Methodology: Lead; Writing –

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      The importance of investigating the placebo response and adverse event rates in gastroparesis trials is highlighted by reports of substantial placebo response rates in other gastrointestinal disorders. Among patients with disorders of gut-brain interaction, including FD and IBS, pooled placebo response rates are highly variable, estimated to range between 6% to 73% in FD and between 3% and 83% in IBS.12,14,55 The power of placebo is further underlined by considerable response rates to placebo even among patients with organic gastrointestinal disorders, such as Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis.15,16

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    Conflicts of interest The authors disclose no conflicts.

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