Elsevier

Children and Youth Services Review

Volume 21, Issues 9–10, September–October 1999, Pages 815-841
Children and Youth Services Review

Article
Transitions from AFDC to child welfare in California

https://doi.org/10.1016/S0190-7409(99)00055-9Get rights and content

Abstract

Probability matching software was employed to link AFDC histories for children with birth records, child abuse reporting data, and foster care data. A total of 63,768 children entering AFDC between 1990 and 1995 in 10 California counties were followed to determine subsequent child welfare involvement. Within 5 years of AFDC entry, 27% of children had child abuse referrals, 22% had child abuse investigations, 8% had child welfare cases opened, and 3% were placed in foster care.

Although relatively few children transition from welfare to foster care, AFDC child entrants who later experience child welfare events and their mothers are more likely than others to have certain characteristics such as single parent family structure, larger family size, low birthweight, and late or no prenatal care. Total time on aid and the number of spells on aid are positively associated with child welfare events. It will be important to monitor these findings as welfare reform progresses. Administrative data analysis can suggest ways to effectively target services when fiscal limitations prohibit universal support.

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    This research was made possible through the support of the Smith Richardson Foundation. Special thanks to Jill Duerr Berrick, Director of the Center for Social Services Research, for her support and thoughtful comments, to Richard P. Barth for his continued guidance from afar, and to Michael Armijo for his stewardship of an incomparable programming staff.

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