Elsevier

Journal of Econometrics

Volume 8, Issue 2, October 1978, Pages 203-213
Journal of Econometrics

On choosing the optimal level of significance for the Durbin-Watson test and the Bayesian alternative

https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(78)90029-5Get rights and content

Abstract

This paper critically evaluates the usual ad hoc selection of the level of significance in the Durbin-Watson test and compares this procedure to the Bayesian alternative. The results of Monte Carlo experiments indicate that an α-level substantially larger than that normally used may be appropriate. The Bayesian estimator performed better than all preliminary test estimates in terms of MSE.

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