Risk factors associated with preterm (<37+0 weeks) and early preterm birth (<32+0 weeks): univariate and multivariate analysis of 106 345 singleton births from the 1994 statewide perinatal survey of Bavaria

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Abstract

Objective: The study was conducted to identify medical, obstetrical and social risk factors associated with early preterm births (<32+0 gestational weeks). Study design: The Statewide Perinatal Survey of Bavaria is a collection of perinatal data from all Bavarian maternity units using a uniform numbered questionnaire. Data on 106 345 singleton births from the 1994 Survey were analysed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results: In the multivariate analysis, early preterm birth was associated with premature rupture of the membranes (odds ratio (OR) 1.6, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.37–1.86), treatment for infertility (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.19–2.34), previous induced abortion (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.57–2.13), maternal age >35 years (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.47–2.16), premature cervical dilatation (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.86–2.94), a history of stillbirth (OR 3.2, 95% CI 2.13–4.83), a history of preterm birth (OR 3.3, 95% CI 2.45–4.48), maternal age <18 years (OR 3.4, 95% CI 2.03–5.61), malpresentation (OR 3.9, 95% CI 3.10–4.93), preeclampsia (OR 4.0, 95% CI 3.20–4.94), uterine bleeding (OR 5.0, 95% CI 4.08–6.02), preterm labour (OR 7.0, 95% CI 5.94–8.22), and chorioamnionitis (OR 22.3, 95% CI 17.40–28.66). Conclusion: These data identify a subgroup of women at an increased risk for early preterm birth and may benefit from an intensified prenatal care. Risk factors related to the obstetrical history, genital infections, preeclampsia and maternal age are the most relevant for early preterm birth.

Introduction

Preterm birth continues to be the major cause of perinatal mortality and neurological long-term morbidity in the industrialised countries, and its relative importance is still increasing. At least 70% of perinatal mortality is attributable to newborns weighing <2500 g 1, 2, 3, of whom the majority are born preterm.

In Germany, the perinatal mortality rate has dropped under 0.5% in recent years despite the fact that the rate of preterm birth has remained constant at about 6% over the past decade [4]. This reduction in perinatal mortality is mainly due to improvements in intensive care of infants with very low birth weight. However, our attempts to reduce the rate of infants born early preterm (<32+0 weeks) have not been successful in the past [3]. Although it is the morbidity of infants born early preterm that largely influences the rate of permanent intellectual and motoric impairment, only limited information is available about the causes of and associations with early preterm birth [5].

Therefore, we aimed to analyze the risk factors for early preterm birth using the data of the 1994 statewide Perinatal Survey of Bavaria, including 106 345 singleton deliveries. This survey offers a unique opportunity to study the impact of risk factors on the occurrence of term, preterm and early preterm births on a large scale in a mostly uniform population.

Section snippets

Study population

A total of 113 324 birth were registered in the Bavarian Perinatal Survey in 1994, representing 88.3% of all infants born in Bavaria in that year. Birth was defined either as a live birth irrespective of weight or as a stillbirth weighing at least 500 g. All births in Bavaria were eligible for entry, even if parental residence was outside the state, but some obstetric departments decided not to participate in the survey (e.g., foreign military units). After exclusion of 3824 infants for

Results

Risk factors associated with preterm delivery using univariate analysis are presented in Table 1. Strong associations were found between a history of two stillborns, three spontaneous or two induced abortions and preterm birth. Previous preterm birth or small for date were associated with birth <37 weeks. The variables summarized under working conditions showed only a weak relation to the gestational age at delivery. Complications in the actual pregnancy (uterine bleeding, diabetes, age <18 and

Discussion

This study represents one of the largest series of patients that has been analyzed for various risk factors for preterm birth (<32+0 and <37+0 weeks of gestation). The population was geographically (State of Bavaria), chronologically (1994 time span) and ethnically (mostly white German) well defined. Previous investigations were already able to identify a number of demographic, social, medical, and obstetric risk factors for preterm birth <37+0 weeks 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13. However, several of

Acknowledgements

The authors wish to thank Nicholas Lack, M.Sc., Steering Committee of the Bavarian Perinatal Survey (Bayerische Landesärztekammer und Kassenärztliche Vereinigung Bayerns), Munich, Germany, and Alois Spahn, Department of Biostatistics, University of Würzburg, Germany, for their contributions to the statistical analysis.

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