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Impact of China’s outward foreign direct investment on green total factor productivity in “Belt and Road” participating countries: a perspective of institutional distance

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Abstract

The “Belt and Road” must be built not only as a road to prosperity but also as a green road. However, as China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) in “Belt and Road” participating countries has continued to increase, “China’s pollution transfer” has also been wildly rendered. This article uses data from 21 European countries participating in the “Belt and Road” Initiative from 2009 to 2018. After calculating the institutional distance between each sample country and China using the Kogut–Singh index, this article focuses on using the threshold regression model to study the relationship between China’s OFDI and the host country’s green total factor productivity (GTFP). The empirical results prove that China’s OFDI is green rather than accompanied by pollution transfer, which can promote GTFP in countries participating in the “Belt and Road” Initiative. However, this positive effect will gradually weaken as political institutional distance and economic institutional distance increase. Moreover, the expansion of OFDI can reduce the impact of institutional distance on GTFP in “Belt and Road” participating countries. Therefore, for “Belt and Road” participating countries that differ greatly from China in terms of their institutional environment, cooperation with China should be strengthened to reduce the impact of bilateral institutional differences.

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Data availability

The datasets obtained and analysed in the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful for the financial support provided by Jiangsu Province Decision Consulting Research Base Project, Research on the Green Development Model of the Yangtze River Economic Belt under the Multi-agent Co-governance (19SSL105).

Abbreviations

OFDI outward foreign direct investment

GTFP green total factor productivity

PID political institutional distance

EID economic institutional distance

Gov government intervention

Str industrial structure

FDI the host country attracts foreign direct investment from outside China

SBM slacks-based measure

DDF direction distance function

GDP gross domestic product

CO2 carbon dioxide

VIF variance inflate factor

EKC environmental Kuznets curve

Funding

The research was supported by Jiangsu Province Decision Consulting Research Base Project, Research on the Green Development Model of the Yangtze River Economic Belt under the Multi-agent Co-governance (19SSL105).

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Fangming Xie: Conceptualization, methodology, software, data curation, writing—original draft preparation, formal analysis, and writing—reviewing and editingBing Zhang: Visualization, investigation, supervision, validation, writing—reviewing and editing, and funding acquisition

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Bing Zhang.

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The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

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Not applicable.

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Responsible Editor: Eyup Dogan

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Xie, F., Zhang, B. Impact of China’s outward foreign direct investment on green total factor productivity in “Belt and Road” participating countries: a perspective of institutional distance. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 4704–4715 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-10849-2

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-10849-2

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