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Hierarchical causal variance decomposition for institution and provider comparisons in healthcare

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Abstract

Disease-specific quality indicators are used to compare institutions and health care providers in terms of processes or outcomes relevant to treatment of a particular condition. In the context of surgical cancer treatments, the performance variations can be due to hospital and/or surgeon level differences, creating a hierarchical clustering. We consider how the observed variation in care received at patient level can be decomposed into that causally explained by the hospital performance, surgeon performance within hospital, patient case-mix, and unexplained (residual) variation. For this purpose, we derive a four-way variance decomposition, with particular attention to the causal interpretation of the components. For estimation, we use inputs from a mixed-effect model with nested random hospital/surgeon-specific effects, and a multinomial logistic model for the hospital/surgeon-specific patient populations. We investigate the performance of our methods in a simulation study and demonstrate them through analysis of administrative data on kidney cancer care in Ontario.

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Data availability

The data that support the findings of this study are available from ICES (https://www.ices.on.ca/). Restrictions apply to the access to these data, which were used under agreement for this study.

Code availability

R code to reproduce the simulation study will be made available at the Journal website.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by a Discovery Grant from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (to OS), a Catalyst Grant in Health Services and Economics Research from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (to AF, KAL and OS) and the Ontario Institute for Cancer Research through funding provided by the Government of Ontario (to BC). This study contracted ICES Data & Analytic Services (DAS) and used de-identified data from the ICES Data Repository, which is managed by ICES with support from its funders and partners: Canada’s Strategy for Patient-Oriented Research (SPOR), the Ontario SPOR Support Unit, the Canadian Institutes of Health Research and the Government of Ontario. The opinions, results and conclusions reported are those of the authors. No endorsement by ICES or any of its funders or partners is intended or should be inferred. Parts of this material are based on data and information compiled and provided by CIHI. However, the analyses, conclusions, opinions and statements expressed herein are those of the author, and not necessarily those of CIHI. Parts of this material are based on data and information provided by Cancer Care Ontario (CCO). The opinions, results, view, and conclusions reported in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of CCO. No endorsement by CCO is intended or should be inferred.

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Contributions

The methodological research problem was devised by OS; the methods were formulated and implemented by BC, who wrote the first draft of the manuscript. KM, KAL and AF devised the applied research problem, and provided input into the creation of the analysis dataset, data analysis and interpretation of the results. All authors reviewed the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Olli Saarela.

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The authors declare no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

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Our study was approved by the Research Ethics Board of the University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario.

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Please see https://www.ices.on.ca/Data-and-Privacy/ICES-data/Working-with-ICES-Data.

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Chen, B., McAlpine, K., Lawson, K.A. et al. Hierarchical causal variance decomposition for institution and provider comparisons in healthcare. Health Serv Outcomes Res Method 23, 391–415 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10742-023-00301-6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10742-023-00301-6

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