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Diagnosing Climate Feedbacks in Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Models

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Abstract

We review the methodologies used to quantify climate feedbacks in coupled models. The method of radiative kernels is outlined and used to illustrate the dependence of lapse rate, water vapor, surface albedo, and cloud feedbacks on (1) the length of the time average used to define two projected climate states and (2) the time separation between the two climate states. Except for the shortwave component of water vapor feedback, all feedback processes exhibit significant high-frequency variations and intermodel variability of feedback strengths for sub-decadal time averages. It is also found that the uncertainty of lapse rate, water vapor, and cloud feedback decreases with the increase in the time separation. The results suggest that one can substantially reduce the uncertainty of cloud and other feedbacks with the accumulation of accurate, long-term records of satellite observations; however, several decades may be required.

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Acknowledgments

We would like to thank two anonymous reviewers for their constructive and valuable comments which led to an improved version of the manuscript. We also thank Bruce Wielicki and David Young of NASA Langley Research Center for valuable discussion. This research was supported by a grant from the NASA/CLARREO Program and the NOAA Climate Program Office.

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Correspondence to Eui-Seok Chung.

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Chung, ES., Soden, B.J. & Clement, A.C. Diagnosing Climate Feedbacks in Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Models. Surv Geophys 33, 733–744 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-012-9187-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-012-9187-x

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