Skip to main content
Log in

ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE QUALITY OF THE ENVIRONMENT: TAKING STOCK

  • Published:
Environment, Development and Sustainability Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

There is a long-standing debate on the relationship between economic development and environmental quality. From a sustainable development viewpoint there has been a growing concern that the economic expansion of the world economy will cause irreparable damage to our planet. In the last few years several studies have appeared dealing with the relationship between the scale of economic activity and the level of pollution. In particular, if we concentrate on local pollutants many empirical contributions have identified a bell-shaped curve linking per capita pollution to per capita GDP (in the case of global pollutants like CO2 the evidence is less clear-cut). This behavior implies that, starting from low per capita income levels, per capita emissions or concentrations tend to increase but at a slower pace. After a certain level of income (which typically differs across pollutants) – the “turning point” – pollution starts to decline as income further increases. In analogy with the historical relationship between income distribution and income growth, the inverted-U relationship between per capita income and pollution has been termed “Environmental Kuznets Curve”. The purpose of this paper is not to provide an overview the literature: there are several survey papers around doing precisely that. We instead reconsider the explanations that have been put forth for its inverted-U pattern. We consider the literature from this perspective. In addition, without resorting to any econometric estimation, we consider whether simple data analysis can help to shed some light on the motives that can rationalize the Environmental Kuznets Curve.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Azomahou, T. and Van Phu, N.: 2001, ‘Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions: A Nonparametric Approach’, BETA-Theme Working Paper N. 2001-01

  • Ayres R.U., Kneese A.V., (1969) Production, consumption, and externalities American Economic Review 59:282–297

    Google Scholar 

  • Barbier E.B., (1997) Introduction to the Environmental Kuznets Curve special issue Environment and Development Economics 2:369–382

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Beckerman W., (1992) Economic growth and the environment: Whose growth? Whose environment? World Development 20:481–496

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Borghesi S., (2001) The Environmental Kuznets Curve: a critical survey In: Franzini M., Nicita A., (Eds), Economic Institutions and Environmental Policy. Ashgate, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Boulding K.E., (1966) The economics of the coming spaceship earth. In: Jarrett H., (Eds), Environmental Quality in a Growing Economy. Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore

    Google Scholar 

  • Carson R.T., Jeon Y., McCubbin D.R., (1997) The relationship between air pollution emissions and income: US data Environment and Development Economics 2:433–450

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • CEC (1992), The State of the Environment in the European Community: Overview, COM(92) 23, Vol. III. European Commission, Brussels

    Google Scholar 

  • Cole M.A., Rayner A.J., Bates J.M., (1997) The Environmental Kuznets Curve: an empirical analysis Environment and Development Economics 2:401–416

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Daly H.E., (1991), Steady-State Economics, San Francisco: Freeman & Co., (2nd ed)., Island Press, Washington D.C

    Google Scholar 

  • Dasgupta S., Laplante B., Mamigi N., (2001) Pollution and capital markets in developing countries Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 42:310–335

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dasgupta S., Laplante B., Wang H., Wheeler D., (2002) Confronting the Environmental Kuznets Curve Journal of Economic Perspectives 16:147–168

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • de Bruyn S.M., (2000), Economic Growth and the Environment. Kluwer Academic Pub., Dordrecht

    Google Scholar 

  • de Bruyn S.M., van den Bergh J.C.J.M., Opschoor J.B., (1998) Economic Growth and emissions: reconsidering the empirical basis of Environmental Kuznets Curves Ecological Economics 25:161–175

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dijkgraaf, E. and Vollebergh, H.R.J.: 1998, ‘Environmental Kuznets Revisited – Time Series Versus Panel Estimation: The CO2 Case’, OCFEB Research Memorandum No. 9806

  • Dowell G., Hart S., Yeung B., (2000) Do corporate global environmental standards create or destroy market value? Management Science 46:1059–1074

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Egli, H.: 2001, ‘The Environmental Kuznets Curve – Evidence From Time Series Data for Germany’, ETH Institute of Economic Research Working paper N.03-28

  • Ekins P., (1997), The Kuznets Curve for the environment and economic growth: examining the evidence Environment and Planning A 29:805–830

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ekins P., (2000), Economic Growth and Environmental Sustainability. Kluwer Academic Pub., Dodrecht

    Google Scholar 

  • Ehrlich, P.R. and Holdren, J.P. (eds.): 1971, Global Ecology: Readings Toward a Rational Strategy for Man, New York, Harcourt Brace Jovanovich

  • Ehrlich P.R., Holdren J.P., (1973), Human Ecology: Problems and Solutions. W.H. Freeman, San Francisco

    Google Scholar 

  • Frankel J.A., (2005) The environment and economic globalization. In: Weinstein M., (Eds). Globalization: What’s New. Columbia University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Galeotti M., Lanza A., (2005) Desperately seeking (Environmental) Kuznets Environmental Modelling and Software 20:1379–1388

    Google Scholar 

  • Galeotti, M., Lanza, A. and Pauli, F.: 2005, ‘Reassessing the Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2 emissions: a robustness exercise’, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei Nota di lavoro N.67.2001, Ecological Economics (forthcoming)

  • Georgescu-Roegen N., (1971), The Entropy Law and the Economic Process. Harvard University Press (1971), Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossman G., (1995) Pollution and growth In: Goldin I., Winters L.A., (Eds), The Economics of Sustainable Development. OECD, Paris, 19–46

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossman, G. and Krueger, A.B.: 1991, ‘Environmental Impacts of a North American Free Trade Agreement’, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 3914

  • Grossman G., Krueger A.B., (1993) Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement. In: Garber P., (Eds). The US–Mexico Free Trade Agreement. MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossman G., Krueger A.B., (1995) Economic growth and the environment Quarterly Journal of Economics 112:353–377

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harbaugh W.T., Levinson A., Molloy Wilson D., (2002) Reexamining the empirical evidence for an Environmental Kuznets Curve Review of Economics and Statistics 84:541–551

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hettige H., Lucas R.E., Wheeler D., (1992) The toxic intensity of industrial production: global patterns, trends, and trade policy American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 82:473–481

    Google Scholar 

  • Hettige H., Mani M., Wheeler D., (2000) Industrial pollution in economic development: the Environmental Kuznets Curve revisited Journal of Development Economics 62:445–476

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hettige H., Huq M., Pargal S., Wheeler D., (1996) Determinants of pollution abatement in developing countries: evidence from South and Southeast Asia World Development 24:1891–1904

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hill R.J., Magnani E., (2002) An exploration of the conceptual and empirical basis of the Environmental Kuznets Curve Australian Economic Papers 41:239–254

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hilton F.G., Levinson A., (1998) Factoring the Environmental Kuznets Curve: evidence from automotive lead emissions Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 35:126–141

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IBRD (1992), World Development Report 1992: Development and the Environment. Oxford University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Islam, N., Vincent, J. and Panayotou, T.: 1999, ‘Unveiling the Income–Environment Relationship: An Exploration into the Determinants of Environmental Quality’, HIID Development Discussion Paper No. 701

  • Kaufmann R.K., Davidsdottir B., Garnham S., Pauly P., (1998) The determinants of atmospheric SO2 concentrations: reconsidering the Environmental Kuznets Curve Ecological Economics 25:209–220

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Komen M.H.C., Gerkin S., Folmer H., (1997) Income and environmental R&D: empirical evidence from OECD countries Environment and Development Economics 2:505–515

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Konar S., Cohen M., (1997) Information as regulation: the effect of community right to know laws on toxic emissions Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 32:109–124

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lanoie P., Laplante B., Roy M., (1998) Can capital markets create incentive for pollution control? Ecological Economics 26:31–41

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levinson A., (2002) The ups and downs of the Environmental Kuznets Curve In: List J., de Zeeuw A., (Eds). Recent Advances in Environmental Economics. Edward Elgar, London

    Google Scholar 

  • MacGillivray A., (1993), A Green League of Nations: Relative Environmental Performance in OECD Countries. New Economics Foundation, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Maddison A., (1995), Monitoring the World Economy 1820–1992. OECD, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Marland, G., Andres, R.J., Boden, T.A., Johnson, C. and Bernkert, A.: 1996, Global, regional, and national CO2 estimates from fossil fuel burning, cement production, and gas flaring: 1751–1996, Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, Report No. ORNL/CDICA-30

  • Meadows D.H., Meadows D.L., Randers J., (1992), Beyond the Limits. Global Collapse or a Sustainable Future. Earthscan, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Meadows D.H., Meadows D.L., Randers J., Behrens W.W., (1972), The Limits to Growth. Universe Books, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Moomaw W.R., Unruh G.C., (1997) Are Environmental Kuznets Curves misleading us? The case of CO2 emissions Environment and Development Economics 2:451–464

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • OECD (1991), The State of the Environment. OECD, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Panayotou, T.: 1993, ‘Empirical tests and policy analysis of environmental degradation at different stages of economic development’, in Technology, Environment, and Employment, International Labour Office, Geneva

  • Panayotou T., (1995) Environmental degradation at different stages of economic development In: Ahmed I., Doeleman J.A., (Eds), Beyond Rio: The Environmental Crisis and Sustainable Livelihoods in the Third World. MacMillan, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Panayotou T., (1997) Demystifying the Environmental Kuznets Curve: turning a black box into a policy tool Environment and Development Economics 2(Part 4):465–484

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Panayotou T., (2000) Economic growth and the environment. CID Working Paper No. 56, forthcoming In: Mäler K.-G., Vincent J., (Eds), Handbook of Environmental Economics. North-Holland, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Panayotou, T., Sachs, J. and Peterson, A.: 1999, ‘Developing Countries and the Control of Climate Change: A Theoretical Perspective and Policy Implications’, CAER II Discussion Paper No. 45

  • Pargal S., Wheeler D., (1996) Informal regulation of industrial pollution in developing countries: evidence from Indonesia Journal of Political Economy 104:1314–1327

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roberts J.T., Grimes P.E., (1997) Carbon intensity and economic development 1962–91: a brief exploration of the Environmental Kuznets Curve World Development 25:191–198

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rothman D.S., (1998) Environmental Kuznets Curves – real progress or passing the buck? A case for consumption-based approaches Ecological Economics 25:177–194

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schmalensee R., Stoker T.M., Judson R.A., (1998) World carbon dioxide emissions: 1950–2050 Review of Economics and Statistics LXXX:15–27

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Selden T.M., Song D., (1994) Environmental quality and development: is there a Kuznets Curve for air pollution emissions Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 27:147–162

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shafik N., (1994) Economic development and environmental quality: an econometric analysis Oxford Economic Papers 46:757–773

    Google Scholar 

  • Shafik N., Bandyopadhyay S., (1992) Economic Growth and Environmental Quality. Background Paper for the 1992 World Development Report, The World Bank, Washington D.C

    Google Scholar 

  • Stagl, S.: 1999, ‘Delinking Economic Growth from Environmental Degradation? A Literature Survey on the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis’, Working Paper Series of the Research – Focus Growth and Employment in Europe: Sustainability and Competitiveness No. 6

  • Stern D.I., (1998) Progress on the Environmental Kuznets Curve? Environment and Development Economics 3:173–196

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stern D.I., Common M.S., Barbier E.B., (1996) Economic Growth and environmental degradation: the Environmental Kuznets Curve and sustainable development World Development 24:1151–1160

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Suri V., Chapman D., (1998) Economic growth, trade, and energy: implications for the Environmental Kuznets Curve Ecological Economics 25:195–208

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taskin F., Zaim O., (2000) Searching for a Kuznets Curve in environmental efficiency using Kernel estimation Economics Letters 68:217–223

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Torras M., Boyce J.K., (1998) Income, inequality, and pollution: a reassessment of the Environmental Kuznets Curve Ecological Economics 25:147–160

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Unruh G.C., Moomaw W.R., (1998) An alternative analysis of apparent EKC-type transitions Ecological Economics 25:221–229

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vincent J.R., (1997) Testing for Environmental Kuznets Curves within a developing country Environment and Development Economics 2(Part 4):417–432

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yandle, B., Bhattarai, M. and Vijayaraghavan, M.: 2004, ‘Environmental Kuznets Curves: A Review of Findings, Methods, and Policy Implications’, PERC Research Study No. 02-1

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to MARZIO GALEOTTI.

Additional information

This paper is part of the research work being carried out by the Climate Change Modelling and Policy Unit at Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei and has been prepared for the 2004–2005 ESRI Collaboration Project. The author is grateful to Nicola Cantore for skillful assistance.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

GALEOTTI, M. ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE QUALITY OF THE ENVIRONMENT: TAKING STOCK. Environ Dev Sustain 9, 427–454 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-006-9030-y

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-006-9030-y

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation