Abstract
Purpose
The Liraglutide Effect and Action in Diabetes: Evaluation of Cardiovascular Outcome Results (LEADER) trial showed the cardiovascular disease (CVD) benefits of liraglutide therapy among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). We applied this trial to US adults with T2DM in terms of eligibility and preventable CVD events.
Methods
We included US adults with T2DM from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2007–2016. Eligibility criteria from LEADER primary and secondary prevention cohorts were applied to determine potentially eligible US adults. We estimated the number of primary composite and secondary CVD endpoints that would occur based on LEADER treated and placebo published event rates, with the difference indicating the number of preventable events.
Results
Among 4672 (projected to 27.3 million [M]) adults we identified with T2DM, we estimated 800 (4.2 million) (15.4%) to fit LEADER eligibility criteria, including 205 (0.9 M) primary prevention 595 (3.3 M) secondary prevention subjects. Compared to LEADER trial participants, our sample had higher proportions of women and minorities, prior angina, chronic kidney disease, and lipid-lowering medication use. We estimated 21,209 primary composite CVD events, 29,691 extended CVD composite outcomes, 16,967 all-cause deaths, 16,967 cardiovascular deaths, 12,725 myocardial infarctions, and 12,725 microvascular events would be prevented annually if our eligible T2DM subjects were on liraglutide.
Conclusion
Liraglutide may prevent many fatal and non-fatal CVD events if provided to US adults meeting LEADER eligibility criteria. More efforts are needed to educate the healthcare providers on the CVD benefits from newer diabetes therapies, including liraglutide.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Roglic G. WHO global report on diabetes: a summary. Int J Noncommun Dis. 2016;1(1):3.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. National Diabetes Statistics Report, 2017. Atlanta, GA: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. Dept of Health and Human Services; 2017.
Garber AJ. Long-acting glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists: a review of their efficacy and tolerability. Diabetes Care. 2011;34(Suppl 2):S279–84.
Marso SP, Daniels GH, Brown-Frandsen K, et al. Liraglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(4):311–22.
Verma S, Poulter NR, Bhatt DL, et al. Effects of liraglutide on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus with or without history of myocardial infarction or stroke. Circulation. 2018;138(25):2884–94.
NHANES. Laboratory procedures manual. Hyattsville, MD: US Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 2007-2008.
Marso SP, Bain SC, Consoli A, et al. Semaglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med. 2016;375(19):1834–44.
Hernandez AF, Green JB, Janmohamed S, et al. Albiglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease (harmony outcomes): a double-blind, randomised placebo-controlled trial. Lancet. 2018;392(10157):1519–29.
Jia X, Alam M, Ye Y, Bajaj M, Birnbaum Y. GLP-1 receptor agonists and cardiovascular disease: a meta-analysis of recent cardiac outcome trials. Cardiovasc Drugs Ther. 2018;32(1):65–72.
Gerstein HC, Colhoun HM, Dagenais GR, et al. Dulaglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes (REWIND): a double-clind, randomized placebo-controlled trial. Lancet. 2019;394:121–30.
Wittbrodt ET, Eudicone JM, Bell KF, Enhoffer DM, Latham K, Green JB. Generalizability of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist cardiovascular outcome trials enrollment criteria to the US type 2 diabetes population. Am J Manag Care. 2018;24(8 Suppl):S146–55.
Arnold SV, Inzucchi SE, Tang F, et al. Real-world use and modeled impact of glucose-lowering therapies evaluated in recent cardiovascular outcomes trials: an NCDR® research to practice project. Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2017;24(15):1637–45.
Hinton W, Feher M, Munro N, Walker M, de Lusignan S. Real-world prevalence of the inclusion criteria for the LEADER trial: data from a national general practice network. Diabetes Obes Metab. 2019;21(7):1661–7.
Vargas CM, Burt VL, Gillum RF, Pamuk ER. Validity of self-reported hypertension in the national health and nutrition examination survey III, 1988-1991. Prev Med. 1997;26:678–85.
Funding
This independent research was supported by unrestricted ISS grant funding from Novo Nordisk Inc. to the University of California, Irvine.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
This project involved publicly accessible de-identified data and thus did not meet our University’s definition for human subject research.
Conflict of Interest
Dr. Wong receives research support from Novo Nordisk, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Amarin, Amgen, and Novartis, has served on an advisory board for Esperion, and is on the speakers bureau for Amarin and Sanofi. No other authors have any disclosures.
Additional information
Publisher’s Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Fan, W., Tong, C. & Wong, N.D. LEADER Trial Eligibility and Preventable Cardiovascular Events in US Adults with Diabetes: the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 2007–2016. Cardiovasc Drugs Ther 34, 737–743 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10557-020-07032-7
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10557-020-07032-7