Abstract
The functionality of community buildings not only depends on the damage to individual buildings but also on the interactions with other infrastructure systems. This paper incorporates these interactions by applying the systems thinking approach to analyze community resilience. The proposed framework starts with identifying the physical infrastructure systems and key components in a community. Then, the seismic hazard scenarios are defined, and the component damage and recovery are assessed by utilizing fragility and consequence functions. After that, a network model, considering the interdependencies between the utility networks and the dependency of utility networks on the community buildings, is introduced to evaluate the component-level building functionality. Finally, community resilience is assessed by proposing community-level indicators including inherent resilience, community functionality, and access to essential facilities. The proposed model is illustrated on a community consisting of building portfolios, water, and electric power systems under four hazard scenarios. It is concluded that the systems thinking approach considered at a community level provides important insights into community resilience such as building functionality, utility demand, and supply, and access to essential facilities, among others.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The data is available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
References
Akiyama M, Frangopol DM, Ishibashi H (2020) Toward life-cycle reliability-, risk-and resilience-based design and assessment of bridges and bridge networks under independent and interacting hazards: emphasis on earthquake, tsunami and corrosion. Struct Infrastruct Eng 16(1):26–50
Aldrich DP (2012) Building resilience: Social capital in post-disaster recovery. University of Chicago Press.
Almufti I and Willford M (2013) REDi™ Rating System: resilience based earthquake design initiative for the next generation of buildings. Version 1.0. October, Arup.
American Lifeline Alliance (ALA) (2001) Seismic fragility formulations for water system. American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
Anwar GA, Dong Y (2020) Seismic resilience of retrofitted RC buildings. Earthq Eng Eng Vib 19(3):561–571
Anwar GA, Dong Y (2022) Surrogate-based decision-making of community building portfolios under uncertain consequences and risk attitudes. Eng Struct 268:114749
Anwar GA, Dong Y, Li Y (2020a) Performance-based decision-making of buildings under seismic hazard considering long-term loss, sustainability, and resilience. Struct Infrastruct Eng. https://doi.org/10.1080/15732479.2020.1845751
Anwar GA, Dong Y, Zhai C (2020b) Performance-based probabilistic framework for seismic risk, resilience, and sustainability assessment of reinforced concrete structures. Adv Struct Eng 23(7):1454–1472
Basaglia A, Aprile A, Spacone E et al (2020) Assessing community resilience, housing recovery and impact of mitigation strategies at the urban scale: a case study after the 2012 Northern Italy Earthquake. Bull Earthq Eng 18(13):6039–6074
Bristow DN, Hay AH (2017) Graph model for probabilistic resilience and recovery planning of multi-infrastructure systems. J Infrastruct Syst 23(3):04016039
Brown T, Hörsch J and Schlachtberger D (2017) PyPSA: python for power system analysis. arXiv preprint arXiv:.09913.
Bruneau M, Chang SE, Eguchi RT et al (2003) A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities. Earthq Spectra 19(4):733–752
Burton HV, Deierlein G, Lallemant D et al (2015) Framework for incorporating probabilistic building performance in the assessment of community seismic resilience. J Struct Eng 142(8):C4015007
Burton HV, Deierlein G, Lallemant D et al (2017) Measuring the impact of enhanced building performance on the seismic resilience of a residential community. Earthq Spectra 33(4):1347–1367
Cimellaro GP, Piqué M (2016) Resilience of a hospital emergency department under seismic event. Adv Struct Eng 19(5):825–836
Cimellaro GP, Reinhorn AM, Bruneau M (2010a) Framework for analytical quantification of disaster resilience. Eng Struct 32(11):3639–3649
Cimellaro GP, Reinhorn AM, Bruneau M (2010b) Seismic resilience of a hospital system. Struct Infrastruct Eng 6(1–2):127–144
Cornell CA (1968) Engineering seismic risk analysis. Bull Seismol Soc Am 58(5):1583–1606
Cutter SL (2016) The landscape of disaster resilience indicators in the USA. Nat Hazards 80(2):741–758
Cutter SL (2020) Community resilience, natural hazards, and climate change: Is the present a prologue to the future? Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift-Norwegian J Geogr 74(3):200–208
Cutter SL, Ash KD, Emrich CT (2014) The geographies of community disaster resilience. Glob Environ Chang 29:65–77
Didier M, Broccardo M, Esposito S et al (2018) A compositional demand/supply framework to quantify the resilience of civil infrastructure systems (Re-CoDeS). Sustain Resilient Infrastruct 3(2):86–102
Dong Y and Frangopol DM (2020) Resilience of civil infrastructure in a life-cycle context. Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Systems. CRC Press, pp.43–48.
Dong Y, Frangopol DM (2015) Risk and resilience assessment of bridges under mainshock and aftershocks incorporating uncertainties. Eng Struct 83:198–208
Dong Y, Frangopol DM (2016a) Performance-based seismic assessment of conventional and base-isolated steel buildings including environmental impact and resilience. Earthquake Eng Struct Dyn 45(5):739–756
Dong Y, Frangopol DM (2016b) Probabilistic time-dependent multihazard life-cycle assessment and resilience of bridges considering climate change. J Perform Constr Facil 30(5):04016034
Dong Y, Frangopol DM (2017) Probabilistic life-cycle cost-benefit analysis of portfolios of buildings under flood hazard. Eng Struct 142:290–299
Fang Y-P, Pedroni N, Zio E (2016) Resilience-based component importance measures for critical infrastructure network systems. IEEE Trans Reliab 65(2):502–512
FEMA-P-58 (2012) Seismic performance assessment of buildings: Vol. 1–Methodology. Reportno. Report Number|, Date. Place Published|: Institution|.
Ferreira M, de Sá FM, Oliveira C (2016) The Disruption Index (DI) as a tool to measure disaster mitigation strategies. Bull Earthq Eng 14(7):1957–1977
Gallagher R, Appenzeller T, Normile D (1999) Beyond reductionism. Science 284(5411):79
Gautam D, Dong Y (2018) Multi-hazard vulnerability of structures and lifelines due to the 2015 Gorkha earthquake and 2017 central Nepal flash flood. Journal of Building Engineering 17:196–201
Giouvanidis AI, Dong Y (2020) Seismic loss and resilience assessment of single-column rocking bridges. Bull Earthq Eng. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00865-5
Guidotti R, Chmielewski H, Unnikrishnan V et al (2016) Modeling the resilience of critical infrastructure: the role of network dependencies. Sustain Resilient Infrastruct 1(3–4):153–168
HAZUS (2003) Multi-hazard loss estimation methodology, earthquake model. Reportno. Report Number|, Date. Place Published|: Institution|.
Honegger D and Eguchi RJSD (1992) Determination of the relative vulnerabilities to Seismic damage for dan diego country water Authority (SDCWA) Water Transmission Pipelines. Reportno. Report Number|, Date. Place Published|: Institution|.
Hu S, Chen B, Song G et al (2022) Resilience-based seismic design optimization of highway RC bridges by response surface method and improved non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm. Bull Earthq Eng 20(1):449–476
Hutt CM, Almufti I, Willford M et al (2015) Seismic loss and downtime assessment of existing tall steel-framed buildings and strategies for increased resilience. J Struct Eng 142(8):C4015005
Jackson MC (2003) Systems thinking: Creative holism for managers. Wiley Chichester.
Jech T (2013) Set theory. Springer Science & Business Media.
Kameshwar S, Cox DT, Barbosa AR et al (2019) Probabilistic decision-support framework for community resilience: incorporating multi-hazards, infrastructure interdependencies, and resilience goals in a Bayesian network. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 191:106568
Klise KA, Hart D, Moriarty DM, et al. (2017) Water network tool for resilience (WNTR) user manual. Reportno. Report Number|, Date. Place Published|: Institution|.
Koliou M, van de Lindt JW, McAllister TP et al (2017) State of the research in community resilience: progress and challenges. Sustain Resilient Infrastruct 5(3):131–151
Kongar I, Esposito S, Giovinazzi S (2017) Post-earthquake assessment and management for infrastructure systems: learning from the Canterbury (New Zealand) and L’Aquila (Italy) earthquakes. Bull Earthq Eng 15(2):589–620
Laugé A, Hernantes J, Sarriegi JM (2015) Critical infrastructure dependencies: a holistic, dynamic and quantitative approach. Int J Crit Infrastruct Prot 8:16–23
Li Y, Dong Y, Frangopol DM et al (2020a) Long-term resilience and loss assessment of highway bridges under multiple natural hazards. Struct Infrastruct Eng 16(4):626–641
Li Y, Dong Y, Qian J (2020b) Higher-order analysis of probabilistic long-term loss under nonstationary hazards. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 203:107092
Lin P, Wang N (2017a) Stochastic post-disaster functionality recovery of community building portfolios I: modeling. Struct Saf 69:96–105
Lin P, Wang N (2017b) Stochastic post-disaster functionality recovery of community building portfolios II: application. Struct Saf 69:106–117
Liu W, Song Z (2020) Review of studies on the resilience of urban critical infrastructure networks. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 193:106617
Liu W, Song Z, Ouyang M et al (2020b) Recovery-based seismic resilience enhancement strategies of water distribution networks. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 203:107088
Liu K, Zhai C and Dong Y (2020a) Optimal restoration schedules of transportation network considering resilience. Struct Infrastruct Eng. 1–14.
Logan TM and Guikema SD (2020) Reframing Resilience: Equitable Access to Essential Services. Risk Analysis.
Masoomi H, Burton H, Tomar A et al (2020) Simulation-based assessment of postearthquake functionality of buildings with disruptions to cross-dependent utility networks. J Struct Eng 146(5):04020070
McAllister TP (2015) Community resilience planning guide for buildings and infrastructure systems, volume I. Reportno. Report Number|, Date. Place Published|: Institution|.
Merali Y and Allen P (2011) Complexity and systems thinking. The SAGE handbook of complexity and management. 31–52.
Miles SB, Chang SE (2006) Modeling community recovery from earthquakes. Earthq Spectra 22(2):439–458
Miles SB, Burton HV, Kang H (2018) Community of practice for modeling disaster recovery. Nat Hazard Rev 20(1):04018023
Molina Hutt C, Almufti I, Willford M et al (2016) Seismic loss and downtime assessment of existing tall steel-framed buildings and strategies for increased resilience. J Struct Eng 142(8):C4015005
Nozhati S, Sarkale Y, Chong EK et al (2020) Optimal stochastic dynamic scheduling for managing community recovery from natural hazards. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 193:106627
Nurre SG, Cavdaroglu B, Mitchell JE et al (2012) Restoring infrastructure systems: an integrated network design and scheduling (INDS) problem. Eur J Oper Res 223(3):794–806
O’Rourke M, Deyoe E (2004) Seismic damage to segmented buried pipe. Earthq Spectra 20(4):1167–1183
O’Rourke M, Ayala G (1993) Pipeline damage due to wave propagation. J Geotech Eng 119(9):1490–1498
Ouyang M (2014) Review on modeling and simulation of interdependent critical infrastructure systems. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 121:43–60
Ouyang M, Wang Z (2015) Resilience assessment of interdependent infrastructure systems: With a focus on joint restoration modeling and analysis. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 141:74–82
Ouyang M, Dueñas-Osorio L, Min X (2012) A three-stage resilience analysis framework for urban infrastructure systems. Struct Saf 36:23–31
Ouyang M, Liu C, Xu M (2019) Value of resilience-based solutions on critical infrastructure protection: comparing with robustness-based solutions. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 190:106506
Pang Y, Sun Y, Zhong J (2021) Resilience-based performance and design of SMA/sliding bearing isolation system for highway bridges. Bull Earthq Eng 19(14):6187–6211
Qian J, Dong Y (2020) Multi-criteria decision making for seismic intensity measure selection considering uncertainty. Earthquake Eng Struct Dynam 49(11):1095–1114
Qian J, Zheng Y, Dong Y et al (2022) Sustainability and resilience of steel–shape memory alloy reinforced concrete bridge under compound earthquakes and functional deterioration within entire life-cycle. Eng Struct 271:114937
Rossetto T, Peiris N (2009) Observations of damage due to the Kashmir earthquake of October 8, 2005 and study of current seismic provisions for buildings in Pakistan. Bull Earthq Eng 7(3):681–699
Sen MK, Dutta S, Kabir G et al (2021) An integrated approach for modelling and quantifying housing infrastructure resilience against flood hazard. J Clean Prod 288:125526
Sharma N, Gardoni P (2022) Mathematical modeling of interdependent infrastructure: An object-oriented approach for generalized network-system analysis. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 217:108042
Stewart JP, Douglas J, Javanbarg M et al (2015) Selection of ground motion prediction equations for the global earthquake model. Earthq Spectra 31(1):19–45
Waseem M, Khan S, Khan MA (2020) Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of pakistan territory using an areal source model. Pure Appl Geophys 177:3577
Xu M, Ouyang M, Mao Z et al (2019) Improving repair sequence scheduling methods for postdisaster critical infrastructure systems. Comput-Aided Civil Infrastruct Eng 34(6):506–522
Yabe T, Rao PSC, Ukkusuri SV (2021) Resilience of interdependent urban socio-physical systems using large-scale mobility data: modeling recovery dynamics. Sustain Cities Soc 75:103237
Yang DY, Frangopol DM (2019) Life-cycle management of deteriorating civil infrastructure considering resilience to lifetime hazards: a general approach based on renewal-reward processes. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 183:197–212
You T, Wang W, Chen Y (2021) A framework to link community long-term resilience goals to seismic performance of individual buildings using network-based recovery modeling method. Soil Dyn Earthq Eng 147:106788
Zheng Y, Dong Y (2019) Performance-based assessment of bridges with steel-SMA reinforced piers in a life-cycle context by numerical approach. Bull Earthq Eng 17(3):1667–1688
Zhou Z, Anwar GA, Dong Y (2022) Performance-based bi-objective retrofit optimization of building portfolios considering uncertainties and environmental impacts. Buildings 12(1):85
Funding
The study has been supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 51808476 and 52078448) and the Research Grant Council of Hong Kong (project no. PolyU 15219819). The support is gratefully acknowledged. The opinions and conclusions presented in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsoring organizations.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
GAA: Conceptualization, Methodology, Software, Writing-original draft. YD: Visualization, Investigation, Writing-review & editing, Validation, Supervision. MO: Writing-review & editing, Validation, Supervision.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Anwar, G.A., Dong, Y. & Ouyang, M. Systems thinking approach to community buildings resilience considering utility networks, interactions, and access to essential facilities. Bull Earthquake Eng 21, 633–661 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-022-01557-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-022-01557-y