Skip to main content
Log in

Japan’s output gap estimation and 1 trend filtering

  • Published:
Empirical Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper estimates Japan’s output gap using the recently developed 1 trend filter, which is an alternative to the popular Hodrick–Prescott (HP) filter. This new filter provides a piecewise linear trend line, which means it possibly provides better output gap estimates than the HP filter does for an economy such as Japan that has experienced some structural breaks.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bai J, Perron P (1998) Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica 66: 47–78

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bai J, Perron P (2003) Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models. J Appl Econ 18: 1–22

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cerra V, Saxena SC (2000) Alternative methods of estimating potential output and the output gap: an application to Sweden. IMF Working Paper No. WP/00/59

  • Fang W, Miller SM (2009) Modeling the volatility of real GDP growth: the case of Japan revisited. Jpn World Econ 21: 312–324

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorno C, Richardson P, Roseveare D,van den Noord P (1995) Potential output, output gaps and structural budget balances. OECD Econ Stud 24: 167–209

    Google Scholar 

  • Gómez V (2001) The use of Butterworth filters for trend and cycle estimation in economic time series. J Bus Econ Stat 19(3): 365–373

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hatanaka M, Yamada H (2003) Co-trending: a statistical system analysis of economic trends. Springer, Tokyo

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Hodrick RJ, Prescott EC (1997) Postwar U.S. business cycles: an empirical investigation. J Money Credit Bank 29(1): 1–16

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kim S, Koh K, Boyd S, Gorinevsky D (2009) 1 trend filtering. SIAM Rev 51(2): 339–360

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maravall A, del Río A (2007) Temporal aggregation, systematic sampling, and the Hodrick–Prescott filter. Comput Stat Data Anal 52: 975–998

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rappoport P, Reichlin L (1989) Segmented trends and non-stationary time series. Econ J 99: 168–177

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sato K (2002) From fast to last: the Japanese economy in the 1990s. J Asian Econ 13: 213–235

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tibshirani R (1996) Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. J R Stat Soc B 58(1): 267–288

    Google Scholar 

  • Yamada H (2011) A note on bandpass filters based on the Hodrick–Prescott filter and the OECD system of composite leading indicators. J Bus Cycle Meas Anal 2011(2): 105–109

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Hiroshi Yamada.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Yamada, H., Jin, L. Japan’s output gap estimation and 1 trend filtering. Empir Econ 45, 81–88 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-012-0625-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-012-0625-x

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation