Abstract
This paper reviews judicial opinions that have discussed the April 1992 recommendations of a committee of the U.S. National Research Council concerning the statistics of forensic DNA profiles obtained with single-locus VNTR probes. It observes that a few courts have held ‘ceiling frequencies’ (as opposed to less ‘conservative’ estimates) admissible, but that the implications of the scientific criticisms of the ceiling procedures have yet to be addressed adequately in court opinions. It urges courts to distinguish between policy judgments and scientific assessments in both the NRC report and the scientific literature, and to defer less to the former than to the latter.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Berry, D., 1991. Inferences using DNA profiling in forensic identification and paternity cases. Statistical Science 6: 175–205.
Chakraborty, R., et al., 1992. Effects of population subdivision and allele frequency differences on interpretation of DNA typing data for human identification, pp. 205–222 in Proceedings of the Third International Symposium on Human Identification. Promega, Madison, Wisconsin.
Devlin, B., N. Risch & K. Roeder, 1994. Comments on the statistical aspects of the NRC's report on DNA typing. Journal of Forensic Science 39: 28–40.
Devlin, B., N. Risch & K. Roeder, 1993. Statistical evaluation of DNA fingerprinting: a critique of the NRC's report. Science 259: 748–749, 837.
Devlin, B., N. Risch & K. Roeder, 1992. Forensic inference from DNA fingerprints. Journal of the American Statistical Association 87: 337–350.
Evett, I.W., J. Scranage & R. Pinchin, 1993. An illustration of efficient statistical methods for RFLP analysis in forensic science. American Journal of Human Genetics 52: 498–505.
Panel on Statistical Assessments as Evidence in the Courts, 1989. The Evolving Role of Statistical Assessments as Evidence in the Courts, edited by S.E. Fienberg. Springer-Verlag, N.Y.
Kaye, D.H., 1993. DNA evidence: probability, population genetics, and the courts. Harvard Journal of Law & Technology 7: 101–172.
Lewontin, R.C. & D.L. Hartl, 1991. Population genetics in forensic DNA typing. Science 254: 1745–1750.
Lander, E.S., 1993. Letter: DNA fingerprinting: the NRC report. Science 260: 1221.
Lempert, R., 1993. DNA, science and the law: two cheers for the ceiling principle. Jurimetrics Journal 34: 41–57.
Morton, N.E., 1992. Genetic structure of forensic populations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 89: 2556–2560.
McCormick, C., 1992. McCormick on Evidence, volume 1, 4th edition, edited by J. Strong. West Publishing Company, Minneapolis, MN.
Roeder, K., 1994. DNA fingerprinting: a review of the controversy. Statistical Science 9: 222–247.
Slimowitz, J.R. & J.E. Cohen, 1993. Violations of the ceiling principle: exact conditions and statistical evidence. American Journal of Human Genetics 53: 314–323.
Thompson, W.C., 1993. Evaluating the admissibility of new genetic identification tests: lessons from the “DNA war”. Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology 84: 22–104.
Weir, B.S., 1992. Population genetics in the forensic DNA debate. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 89: 11654–11659.
Weir, B.S., 1993a. Letter: forensic population genetics and the NRC. American Journal of Human Genetics 52: 437.
Weir, B., 1993b. Letter: DNA fingerprinting report. Science 260: 473.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Additional information
Editor's comments
Scientists caught up in the debate over the use of DNA for human identification may not be fully aware of the legal consequences of their pronouncements. The author provides a very useful discussion of these consequences in showing how courts have interpreted the 1992 NRC report.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Kaye, D.H. The forensic debut of the NRC's DNA report: Population structure, ceiling frequencies and the need for numbers. Genetica 96, 99–105 (1995). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01441155
Received:
Accepted:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01441155