Abstract
The wind power sector took off in Vietnam after the feed-in tariff was raised to 8.5 US cents/kWh for onshore projects in 2018. As of March 2021, 113 wind projects with total capacity 6,038 MW have signed a power purchase agreement. Most are expected to enter commercial operation before December 2021. We explore here three scenarios for wind power development in Vietnam through 2030. It argues that by 2030 the wind power installed capacity in the New Normal could be around 17 GW onshore and 10 GW offshore. In a Factor Three scenario, offshore wind reaches 21 GW by 2030. This has three policy implications. First, Vietnam’s next power development plan provides an important opportunity to increase at low costs the level of ambition of wind power development. Second, flexibility should be the guiding principle of the plan. Third, to realize the large potential of offshore wind power, infrastructure planning has to start soon.
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Notes
- 1.
Normalized standard deviation of the monthly mean values of wind power density at 105 m height.
- 2.
Normalized standard deviation of hourly data.
- 3.
Normalized standard deviation of yearly mean from 10-year mean.
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Acknowledgements
Lead author HDM is responsible for the framing, data collection and the scenario narratives. The ISF study team is responsible for modeling simulations. All authors contributed to the reviewing. Authors declare no conflict of interest. We acknowledge financial support from the European Climate Foundation grants.
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Ha-Duong, M., Teske, S., Pescia, D., Pujantoro, M. (2022). Planning, Policy and Integration for Sustainable Development of Offshore Wind Energy in Vietnam 2022–2030. In: Huynh, D.V.K., Tang, A.M., Doan, D.H., Watson, P. (eds) Proceedings of the 2nd Vietnam Symposium on Advances in Offshore Engineering. VSOE2021 2021. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 208. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-7735-9_4
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