Abstract
Phil Rees provided the authors with the idea for the development of the MULTIPOLES model, initially to be used for projecting populations of Central and Eastern European countries. MULTIPOLES is based on movement type population accounts instead of the transition accounts. Since its inception, the MULTIPOLES model has been revised and improved several times. This chapter presents the model, its application and an assessment of error associated with the projections that the model generates.
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Notes
- 1.
DEMIFER stands for Demographic and Migratory Flows Affecting European Regions and Cities and is funded by the European Union via the ESPON programme.
- 2.
THESIM stands for Towards Harmonised European Statistics on International Migration.
- 3.
PROMINSTAT stands for PROmoting Comparative Quantitative Research in the Field of Migration and INtegration. Both projects were conducted within the EU Framework 6 Program, in 2004–2005 (THESIM) and 2007–2010 (PROMINSTAT).
- 4.
MIMOSA (MIgration MOdelling for Statistical Analysis) is an abbreviation for the project on ‘Modelling of statistical data on migration and migrant populations’ funded by Eurostat and conducted in 2007–2009.
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Acknowledgement
The authors of this chapter were lucky to work with Professor Rees on models of population dynamics. The MULTIPOLES model is an outcome of this collaboration.
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Kupiszewski, M., Kupiszewska, D. (2011). MULTIPOLES: A Revised Multiregional Model for Improved Capture of International Migration. In: Stillwell, J., Clarke, M. (eds) Population Dynamics and Projection Methods. Understanding Population Trends and Processes, vol 4. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8930-4_3
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