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Nadaraya’s Estimates for Large Quantiles and Free Disposal Support Curves

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Abstract

A new characterization of partial boundaries of a free disposal multivariate support, lying near the true support curve, is introduced by making use of large quantiles of a simple transformation of the underlying multivariate distribution. Pointwise empirical and smoothed estimators of the full and partial support curves are built as extreme sample and smoothed quantiles. The extreme-value theory holds then automatically for the empirical frontiers and we show that some fundamental properties of extreme order statistics carry over to Nadaraya’s estimates of upper quantile-based frontiers. The benefits of the new class of partial boundaries are illustrated through simulated examples and a real data set, and both empirical and smoothed estimates are compared via Monte Carlo experiments. When the transformed distribution is attracted to the Weibull extreme-value type distribution, the smoothed estimator of the full frontier outperforms frankly the sample estimator in terms of both bias and Mean-Squared Error, under optimal bandwidth. In this domain of attraction, Nadaraya’s estimates of extreme quantiles might be superior to the sample versions in terms of MSE although they have a higher bias. However, smoothing seems to be useless in the heavy tailed case.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    For two vectors x 1 and x 2 with x 1 ≤ x 2 componentwise, ξ1( ⋅) satisfies ξ1(x 1) ≤ ξ1(x 2).

  2. 2.

    We write F Z  ∈ DA(G) if there exist normalizing constants a n  > 0, \({c}_{n} \in \mathbb{R}\) such that \({a}_{n}^{-1}({Z}_{(n)} - {c}_{n})\stackrel{d}{\rightarrow }G\).

  3. 3.

    A measurable function \(\mathcal{l} : {\mathbb{R}}_{+} \rightarrow {\mathbb{R}}_{+}\) is regularly varying at with index γ (written \(\mathcal{l} \in \mathrm{{ RV}}_{\gamma }\)) if \({\lim }_{t\rightarrow \infty }\mathcal{l}(tx)/\mathcal{l}(t) = {x}^{\gamma }\) for all x > 0.

  4. 4.

    Once a reasonable large value of α is picked out, the idea in practice is then to interpret the observations left outside the αth frontier estimator as highly efficient and to assess the performance of the points lying below the estimated partial frontier by measuring their distances from this frontier in the output-direction.

  5. 5.

    The moment’s estimator \(\hat{{\gamma }}_{x}\) of the tail index γ x is defined as \(\hat{{\gamma }}_{x} = {H}_{n}^{(1)} + 1 -\frac{1} {2}\{1 - {({H}_{n}^{(1)})}^{2}/{H}_{n}^{{(2)}\}}{}^{-1}\), with \({H}_{n}^{(j)} = (1/k){ \sum \nolimits }_{i=0}^{k-1}{(\log {Z}_{(n-i)}^{x} -\log {Z}_{(n-k)}^{x})}^{j}\) for k < n and j = 1, 2 (Dekkers et al. 1989).

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Acknowledgements

The authors thank an anonymous reviewer for his valuable comments which led to a considerable improvement of the manuscript. This research was supported by the French “Agence Nationale pour la Recherche” under grant ANR-08-BLAN-0106-01/EPI project.

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Correspondence to Abdelaati Daouia .

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Daouia, A., Gardes, L., Girard, S. (2011). Nadaraya’s Estimates for Large Quantiles and Free Disposal Support Curves. In: Van Keilegom, I., Wilson, P. (eds) Exploring Research Frontiers in Contemporary Statistics and Econometrics. Physica, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-2349-3_1

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