Skip to main content

Predicted Cost Model for Integrated Healthcare Systems Using Markov Process

  • Conference paper
Ubiquitous Information Technologies and Applications

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering ((LNEE,volume 280))

Abstract

Predicting cost in the health care environment is a challenging issue for healthcare professionals. Chronic disease is a long term disease that requires life time care. Physicians need to keep tracking patients’ status over time including routine medical examinations. In this paper, we investigate the healthcare service scenario for chronic disease care. Then, we propose a predicted cost model for the investigated healthcare service. The cost model is based on the prediction of utilization and attendant costs through the development of a stochastic model, specifically a first-order Markov chain, can be adapted to specific diseases and/or events. The proposed model is at the initial stage and may require testing using a large administrative database of patients and hospital operational costs.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 259.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 329.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Aalen, O.O., Farewell, V.T., De Angelis, D., Day, N.E., Gill, O.N.: A Markov model for HIV disease progression including the effect of HIV diagnosis and treatment: Application to AIDS prediction in England and Wales. Statistics in Medicine 16, 2191–2210 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Auranen, K., Ranta, J., Takala, A.K., Arjas, E.: A statistical model of transmission of Hib bacteria in a family. Statistics in Medicine 15, 2235–2252 (1996)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Beck, J.R., Paulker, S.G.: The Markov process in medical prognosis. Medical Decision- Making 3(4), 419–458 (1983)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Beland, F.: Conceptualizing the utilization of ambulatory medical care as a process. Medical Care 26(2), 115–123 (1988)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Kapadia, A.S., Vineberg, S.E., Rossi, C.D.: Predicting course of treatment in a rehabilitation hospital: A Markovian model. Computers & Operation Research 12(5), 459–469 (1985)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Leviton, A., Schulman, J., Kammerman, L., Porter, D., Slack, W., Graham, J.R.: A probability model of headache recurrence. Journal of Chronic Disease 33, 407–412 (1980)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. McGhee, C.R., Glasser, J.H., Chan, W., Pomeroy, N., Chan, W.: Forecasting Health Care Expenditures and Utilization Based on a Markov Process and a Deterministic Cost Function in Managed Care Settings. Lecture Notes-Monograph Series, vol. 43, pp. 229–238. Statistical Essays in Honor of Jack Hall, Crossing Boundaries (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Ross, S.M.: Introduction to Probability Models, 3rd edn. Academic Press, San Diego (1997)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  9. Kemeny, J.G., Snell, J.L.: Finite Markov Chains. D. Van Nostrand Company, Inc., Princeton (1960)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sangjin Jeong .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Jeong, S., Youn, CH., Kim, YW. (2014). Predicted Cost Model for Integrated Healthcare Systems Using Markov Process. In: Jeong, YS., Park, YH., Hsu, CH., Park, J. (eds) Ubiquitous Information Technologies and Applications. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 280. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-41671-2_24

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-41671-2_24

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-41670-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-41671-2

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics