Abstract
Focused on Load forecasting for electric power plan, a novel prediction model, which was based on machine learning, was established. We propose Bagging algorithm optimized Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) prediction model with the fast learning ability of ELM and weight altering of Bagging to increase the prediction accuracy. Finally, it is applied on short term load forecasting problem verified by the EUNITE load forecasting datasets. Compared with winning algorithm of EUNITE competition, Bagging-ELM prediction model has a better performance on prediction accuracy.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Chen D (1991) An expert system for short-term load forecasting. Advances in power system control. In: International conference on operation and management, pp 330–334
Rahman S, Baba M (1989) Software design and evaluation of a microcomputer-based automated load forecasting system. IEEE Summer Power Meet Portland Or 1989:782–788
Hsu YY (1992) Fuzzy expert systems: an application to short-term load forecasting. IEEE Proc Transm Distrib 139(6):471–477
Kim C-I, Yu I-K (2002) Kohonen neural network and transform based approach to short-term load forecasting. Elect Elecr Power Syst Res 63(3):169–176
Luo X, Zhou Y-H, Zhou H (2007) Forecasting the daily load based on ANN. In: Control theory and application, pp 1–4
Francis E, Tay H (2001) Application of support vector machines in financial time series forecasting. Omega 29:232–239
Chen B-J (2001) Load forecasting using support vector machines. A study on EUNITE competition
Ruping S (2001) Incremental learning with support vector machines. In: Proceedings IEEE international conference on ICDM 2001, pp 641–642
Cauwenberghs G, Poggio T (2000) Incremental and decremental learning with support vector machine. NIPS. MIT Press, Cambridge, pp 409–415
Ma J, Theiler J (2003) Accurate on-line support vector regression. Neural Comput 15(11):2683–2703
Karasuyama M, Takeuchi I (2009) Multiple incremental decremental learning of support vector machines. In: 23rd annual conference on neural information processing systems (NIPS 2009), MIT Press, Vancouver, pp 1048–1059
Huang G-B, Hou H, Ding X, Hang R (2010) Extreme learning machine for regression and multi-classification. In: IEEE transactions on pattern analysis and machine intelligence, pp 513–529
Huang G-B, Zhu Q-Y, Siew C-K (2004) Extreme leaning machine: a new learning scheme of feedforward neural networks. In: Proceedings of international joint conference on neural networks (ICNN2004), vol 2, pp 985–990
Huang G-B, Zhu Q-Y, Siew C-K (2006) Extreme learning machine: theory and applications. Neurocomputing 70:489–501
Breiman L (1996) Bagging predictors. Mach Learn 24(2):123–140
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
Xu, Rz., Geng, Xf., Zhou, Fy. (2013). A Short Term Load Forecasting Based on Bagging-ELM Algorithm. In: Lu, W., Cai, G., Liu, W., Xing, W. (eds) Proceedings of the 2012 International Conference on Information Technology and Software Engineering. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 211. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34522-7_54
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34522-7_54
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-34521-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-34522-7
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)