Skip to main content

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering ((LNEE,volume 211))

Abstract

Focused on Load forecasting for electric power plan, a novel prediction model, which was based on machine learning, was established. We propose Bagging algorithm optimized Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) prediction model with the fast learning ability of ELM and weight altering of Bagging to increase the prediction accuracy. Finally, it is applied on short term load forecasting problem verified by the EUNITE load forecasting datasets. Compared with winning algorithm of EUNITE competition, Bagging-ELM prediction model has a better performance on prediction accuracy.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Chen D (1991) An expert system for short-term load forecasting. Advances in power system control. In: International conference on operation and management, pp 330–334

    Google Scholar 

  2. Rahman S, Baba M (1989) Software design and evaluation of a microcomputer-based automated load forecasting system. IEEE Summer Power Meet Portland Or 1989:782–788

    Google Scholar 

  3. Hsu YY (1992) Fuzzy expert systems: an application to short-term load forecasting. IEEE Proc Transm Distrib 139(6):471–477

    Google Scholar 

  4. Kim C-I, Yu I-K (2002) Kohonen neural network and transform based approach to short-term load forecasting. Elect Elecr Power Syst Res 63(3):169–176

    Google Scholar 

  5. Luo X, Zhou Y-H, Zhou H (2007) Forecasting the daily load based on ANN. In: Control theory and application, pp 1–4

    Google Scholar 

  6. Francis E, Tay H (2001) Application of support vector machines in financial time series forecasting. Omega 29:232–239

    Google Scholar 

  7. Chen B-J (2001) Load forecasting using support vector machines. A study on EUNITE competition

    Google Scholar 

  8. Ruping S (2001) Incremental learning with support vector machines. In: Proceedings IEEE international conference on ICDM 2001, pp 641–642

    Google Scholar 

  9. Cauwenberghs G, Poggio T (2000) Incremental and decremental learning with support vector machine. NIPS. MIT Press, Cambridge, pp 409–415

    Google Scholar 

  10. Ma J, Theiler J (2003) Accurate on-line support vector regression. Neural Comput 15(11):2683–2703

    Google Scholar 

  11. Karasuyama M, Takeuchi I (2009) Multiple incremental decremental learning of support vector machines. In: 23rd annual conference on neural information processing systems (NIPS 2009), MIT Press, Vancouver, pp 1048–1059

    Google Scholar 

  12. Huang G-B, Hou H, Ding X, Hang R (2010) Extreme learning machine for regression and multi-classification. In: IEEE transactions on pattern analysis and machine intelligence, pp 513–529

    Google Scholar 

  13. Huang G-B, Zhu Q-Y, Siew C-K (2004) Extreme leaning machine: a new learning scheme of feedforward neural networks. In: Proceedings of international joint conference on neural networks (ICNN2004), vol 2, pp 985–990

    Google Scholar 

  14. Huang G-B, Zhu Q-Y, Siew C-K (2006) Extreme learning machine: theory and applications. Neurocomputing 70:489–501

    Google Scholar 

  15. Breiman L (1996) Bagging predictors. Mach Learn 24(2):123–140

    Google Scholar 

  16. http://neuron.tuke.sk/competition/index.php

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ru-zhi Xu .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Xu, Rz., Geng, Xf., Zhou, Fy. (2013). A Short Term Load Forecasting Based on Bagging-ELM Algorithm. In: Lu, W., Cai, G., Liu, W., Xing, W. (eds) Proceedings of the 2012 International Conference on Information Technology and Software Engineering. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 211. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34522-7_54

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34522-7_54

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-34521-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-34522-7

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics