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Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews Protocol - Intervention

Systemic corticosteroids for the prevention of bronchopulmonary dysplasia, a network meta‐analysis

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Abstract

Objectives

This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (intervention). The objectives are as follows:

To determine whether differences in efficacy and safety exist between hydrocortisone and dexamethasone in the prevention of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in preterm infants through a network meta‐analysis, generating pairwise comparisons between all treatments and rankings of the treatments.

Background

Description of the condition

Although outcomes for infants born prematurely have seen considerable improvement over the years, bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) remains a major cause of neonatal morbidity, affecting approximately one in three very low birth weight infants (Horbar 2012). Affected infants suffer from long‐term pulmonary and neurodevelopmental problems (Anderson 2006; Bhandari 2003; Bhandari 2006).

First described by Northway in 1967, BPD was initially thought to be mainly iatrogenic in nature, secondary to oxygen toxicity and barotrauma of then crude techniques of respiratory support (Northway 1967). Today, it is seen in more complex terms. This 'new' BPD is secondary mainly to limited development of the immature alveolar and vascular systems of preterm lungs (Bhandari 2007; Jobe 2009), and the resultant inflammation as these structures take on the stresses of ex‐utero life, with oxygen exposure and distending pressures to achieve ventilation.

Description of the intervention

Corticosteroids have been a mainstay in the prevention of BPD, as they address this causative inflammation. Numerous studies have shown systemic corticosteroids, particularly dexamethasone and hydrocortisone, to effectively prevent BPD (Doyle 2017a; Doyle 2017b; Onland 2017). Extremely concerning side effects have been reported, however, including short‐term complications (hypertension, hyperglycemia, gastrointestinal bleeding, gastrointestinal perforation, and sepsis), poor somatic growth, poor brain growth, and serious neurodevelopmental sequelae (Doyle 2017a; Doyle 2017b; Jobe 2009; Onland 2017). This led to recommendations from the American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) Committee on Fetus and Newborn, strongly cautioning against routine use of corticosteroids in this population (Watterberg 2010).

How the intervention might work

Dexamethasone and hydrocortisone are thought to prevent BPD via potent anti‐inflammatory effects.

Dexamethasone, a corticosteroid with exclusive glucocorticoid action, was the first systemic corticosteroid to be widely adopted for the management of BPD. Once heralded as the 'cure' for BPD, trials demonstrated improvement in respiratory function and successful extubation after treatment (Avery 1985; Cummings 1989; Garland 1999; Rastogi 1996; Yeh 1990; Yeh 1997). Subsequent evidence demonstrated serious adverse effects of dexamethasone treatment, however, including spontaneous intestinal perforation and cerebral palsy (CP) (Stark 2001). Long‐term risks include chronic suppression of the hypothalamic‐pituitary‐adrenal axis (Karemaker 2008; Rizvi 1992); and long‐term neurodevelopmental impairments (Yeh 1998; Yeh 2004).

Hydrocortisone, a corticosteroid produced by the adrenal glands with near equal glucocorticoid and mineralocorticoid effect, is a less potent and shorter‐acting alternative to dexamethasone for the management of BPD. It is 25 to 50 times less potent, with a half‐life of 8 hours, as opposed to the 36 to 54 hour half‐life of dexamethasone (Gupta 2012). It has been studied for replacement of the immature hypothalamic‐pituitary‐adrenal axis of preterm infants, with early (< 48 hours) use demonstrating a decreased risk of patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) but survival only increased for infants born in the context of chorioamnionitis or with initially low cortisol levels (Baud 1999; Gupta 2012; Peltoniemi 2005; Watterberg 1995; Watterberg 1999). Concerning side effects have also been reported for hydrocortisone, including short‐term complications (hypertension, hyperglycemia, gastrointestinal bleeding, sepsis), poor somatic and brain growth, and serious neurodevelopmental sequelae (Baud 2016; Onland 2019; Patra 2015; Peltoniemi 2016).

Why it is important to do this review

Reviews of the extant literature by traditional methods have found insufficient evidence to make a recommendation for any systemic corticosteroid for the prevention of BPD (Watterberg 2010). Earlier management strategies with dexamethasone initiated in the first week of life are effective in reducing the incidence of BPD, but present risks for significant short‐ and long‐term adverse outcomes. Treatment with systemic corticosteroids after the first week of life has shown promise for fewer adverse outcomes, but sufficient trial evidence to suggest an optimal dosage regimen (high dose versus low dose, short versus long duration of therapy) to optimize this benefit‐to‐risk ratio is lacking. Low‐dose dexamethasone therapy (generally < 0.2 mg/kg per day) could be useful in facilitating extubation with fewer short‐term adverse effects than higher doses of dexamethasone (Doyle 2006), but differences in long‐term outcomes remain unclear. Early hydrocortisone therapy (1 mg/kg daily for the first 14 days), especially in cases of perinatal inflammation, may decrease the incidence of BPD with fewer adverse neurodevelopmental effects (Watterberg 2004). A small number of studies have evaluated hydrocortisone therapy after the first week of life for BPD, with limited benefit observed. There is need for additional randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on low‐dose dexamethasone, high‐dose dexamethasone, and hydrocortisone, powered to evaluate survival without BPD and other relevant short‐ and long‐term outcomes.

The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) has specifically stated that “additional RCTs of postnatal glucocorticoids are warranted to optimize therapy and improve outcomes for these infants.” Those who design such trials in the future should attempt to minimize the use of open‐label glucocorticoid therapy, which has confounded analysis of most previous trials (Onland 2010), and should include assessment of long‐term pulmonary and neurodevelopmental outcomes (Watterberg 2010).

Large RCTs, particularly those involving direct comparisons of dexamethasone and hydrocortisone, as well as those comparing different dexamethasone dosing regimens, would require considerable resources and extremely large sample sizes. Network meta‐analysis (NMA), and indirect comparisons of existing trial data may lead to further precision of effect estimates and a greater understanding of optimal therapy for this fragile population without subjecting infants and their families to further drug exposure.

Objectives

To determine whether differences in efficacy and safety exist between hydrocortisone and dexamethasone in the prevention of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in preterm infants through a network meta‐analysis, generating pairwise comparisons between all treatments and rankings of the treatments.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

We will include RCTs in preterm infants at risk for BPD.

Types of participants

Preterm infants (< 37 weeks' gestation) with BPD risk, as determined by individual trials’ inclusion criteria. We assume that these infants would be equally eligible to be randomized to any of the below treatments.

Types of interventions

Treatment with systemic corticosteroids (high‐dose dexamethasone, low‐dose dexamethasone, or hydrocortisone) versus control (placebo or no treatment) or other corticosteroid preparation (specifically high‐dose dexamethasone, low‐dose dexamethasone, or hydrocortisone).

We will separately consider early (within the first seven days of life) versus late (after seven days of life) treatment. We will define high‐dose versus low‐dose dexamethasone relative to the median value of cumulative dexamethasone dose in our data set (a 3.0 mg/kg cut‐point was used in previous literature; Doyle 2005). We will evaluate the included hydrocortisone studies for potential for separation into similar high‐ and low‐dose nodes; given that we anticipate few studies, however, it is likely that such partitioning will not be appropriate. We will determine high versus low contamination, or the extent to which infants received corticosteroids outside of the RCT parameters, around the median (35% in prior literature; Doyle 2005).

Analysis will be based on the intended dosing for the trial, which, for the above large contamination rates, may vary from the doses received. We will attempt to account for this study characteristic as well, with the addition of subgroup analysis by dose contamination. In the network meta‐analysis, nodes will be defined by each of the treatments (specifically, high‐dose dexamethasone, low‐dose dexamethasone, hydrocortisone, and placebo/no treatment). We anticipate no splitting or lumping of nodes.

Types of outcome measures

We chose these for their anticipated clinical relevance around the decision for corticosteroid treatment.

Primary outcomes

  1. Death, from any cause, or bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD; defined as oxygen supplementation at 36 weeks’ postmenstrual age)

  2. Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (defined as oxygen supplementation at 36 weeks’ postmenstrual age)

  3. Mortality (at 36 weeks' postmenstrual age and at latest follow‐up)

Secondary outcomes

  1. Failure to extubate (within seven days of treatment initiation)

  2. Neurodevelopmental outcome

    1. cerebral palsy (at 24 months of age)

    2. major neurodevelopmental disability (at 24 months of age, defined as the presence of any of the following: cerebral palsy; developmental delay [Bayley Scales of Infant Development ‐ Mental Development Index Edition II [BSID‐MDI‐II; Bayley 1993], Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development ‐ Edition III Cognitive Scale [BSITD‐III; Bayley 1995] or Griffiths Mental Development Scale ‐ General Cognitive Index [GCI; Griffiths 1954; Griffiths 1970] assessment greater than two standard deviations [SDs] below the mean]; intellectual impairment [intelligence quotient [IQ] greater than two SDs below the mean]; blindness [vision less than 6/60 in both eyes]; or sensorineural deafness requiring amplification [Jacobs 2013])

Serious adverse effects

  1. Gastrointestinal perforation

  2. Necrotizing enterocolitis ([NEC]; defined as Bell's Stage II or greater) (Bell 1978)

  3. Hypertension (systolic blood pressure > 2 standard deviations above normal range)

  4. Growth failure (as defined by the study authors)

  5. Culture‐proven sepsis

We plan to conduct an NMA to synthesize evidence for each outcome with a comprehensive ranking for all treatments.

Search methods for identification of studies

Electronic searches

We will search the Cochrane Library for all systematic reviews of systemic corticosteroids for the prevention and treatment of bronchopulmonary dysplasia. We will perform an updating search and update each individual systematic review to reflect any new trials' data since review publication. The updated searches are based upon the searches in the individual reviews. These include Cochrane Neonatal's standard highly sensitive search strategies along with population‐ and intervention‐specific terms to search the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, PubMed, Embase, and the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL); see Appendix 1.

The authors of the Cochrane Reviews additionally searched clinical trials databases (ClinicalTrials.gov; the World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (apps.who.int/trialsearch); and the ISRCTN Registry), conference proceedings, and reference lists of retrieved articles for RCTs. All systematic reviews were updated in 2017. We will test and update the searches to ensure all recently published trial data have been found. Any new information uncovered in our searches will be referred back to the original authors of the review for updating and incorporation in our overview.

We will consider adverse effects described in included studies only.

Searching other resources

We will also review the reference lists of all identified articles for relevant articles not located in the primary search.

Data collection and analysis

The unit of analysis is the systematic review, and we will not repeat risk assessments from the original reviews.

Selection of studies

Two review authors will perform study selection. We will independently evaluate studies for inclusion in agreement with the exclusion criteria. Studies that do not satisfy the criteria will be systematically and sequentially excluded via the exclusion categories. We will record the reason for exclusion. We will resolve disagreements between the reviewers at any stage by discussion; and where we cannot reach a decision, a third reviewer will mediate and, when necessary, make the final decision on inclusion. We will create a flow chart to graphically depict the inclusion and exclusion of studies from the initial search, to those that satisfy all criteria and that we include in the review.

Data extraction and management

Our study will pay attention to meaningful clinical groupings by building separate networks for studies evaluating early (within the first seven days of life) prophylactic treatment of corticosteroids and for studies evaluating later, more targeted, application of corticosteroids (after the first seven days of life). Two review authors will independently perform data extraction for each study. This will be performed on the review level if possible, with reference to the original manuscript when items are missing. We will include details on intended corticosteroid dosing, day of life steroids were initiated, duration of therapy, and the inclusion of rescue‐therapy with systemic steroids; in addition to the assigned trial intervention. We will resolve disagreements between the reviewers at any stage by discussion; and where we cannot reach a decision a third reviewer will mediate and, when necessary, make the final decision on inclusion. We will enter data into Review Manager 5 (Review Manager 2014), export to R software (R Core Team 2013), and check it for accuracy. If information is unclear, we will attempt to contact authors of the original reports to provide further details.

Outcome data

From each included study, we plan to extract data on the interventions being compared, and their respective primary and secondary outcomes. All relevant arm‐level data will be extracted (e.g. number of events and number of patients for binary outcomes).

Data on potential effect modifiers

From each included study we plan to extract the following study, intervention, and population characteristics that may act as effect modifiers, such as:

  1. corticosteroid dosing (intended dose for the trial, including cumulative dose and duration of therapy);

  2. day of life steroids were initiated;

  3. inclusion of rescue therapy with systemic steroids;

  4. respiratory status at time of corticosteroid initiation (whether or not on mechanical ventilation);

  5. exposure to antenatal corticosteroids;

  6. gestational age;

  7. birth weight.

Other data

From each included study we will extract the following additional information.

  1. Country or countries in which the study was performed

  2. Date of publication and dates of recruitment

  3. Type of publication (full‐text publication, abstract publication, unpublished data)

  4. Trial registration reference

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

Risk of bias, or the extent to which a study's results may have deviated from the truth secondary to a systemic flaw in design or execution, has already been determined and published for most included studies by Cochrane Neonatal authors. Since we continue to evaluate the same or similar outcomes for which this risk of bias was assessed, we will incorporate these assessments into our analysis. For new studies identified and included in this review, we will follow the same process of risk of bias assessment, in accordance with the criteria outlined in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviewsof Interventions (Higgins 2011). This is based on domains anticipated to impact RCT outcomes; specifically, randomization process, deviations from intended interventions, missing outcome data, outcome measurement, and selection of the reported result.

For these new studies to be included, two review authors will independently assess the risk of bias (low, high, or unclear) of all included trials using the Cochrane ‘Risk of bias’ tool for the following domains (Higgins 2011).

  1. Sequence generation (selection bias)

  2. Allocation concealment (selection bias)

  3. Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)

  4. Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)

  5. Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)

  6. Selective reporting (reporting bias)

  7. Any other bias

We will resolve any disagreements by discussion or by consulting a third author. See Appendix 2 for a more detailed description of risk of bias for each domain.

Summary of findings

The 'Summary of findings' tables will present evidence comparing treatment with systemic corticosteroids (high‐dose dexamethasone, low‐dose dexamethasone, or hydrocortisone) versus control (placebo or no treatment) or other corticosteroid preparation (specifically high‐dose dexamethasone, low‐dose dexamethasone, or hydrocortisone). We will define high‐dose versus low‐dose dexamethasone relative to the median value of cumulative dexamethasone dose in our data set.

We will separately consider early (within the first seven days of life) versus late (after seven days of life) corticosteroid treatment.

We will create 'Summary of findings' tables for each primary and secondary outcome. Outcomes in the 'Summary of findings' table will include:

1. death, from any cause, or bronchopulmonary dysplasia;
2. bronchopulmonary dysplasia;
3. mortality (at 36 weeks' postmenstrual age and at latest follow‐up);
4. failure to extubate (within seven days of treatment initiation);
5. cerebral palsy (at 24 months of age); and
6. presence of major neurodevelopmental disability.

We will use GRADE (Guyatt 2008), a standardized and systematic tool to rate the certainty in the evidence and strength of recommendations. As GRADE assessments were designed for application to direct evidence, we will utilize relatively new methods to apply the GRADE framework to our network meta‐analysis, to optimize clinical applicability and interpretation (Khalifah 2018).

To do so, we will begin by assessing the certainty of available direct evidence for each outcome and rate the evidence using the standard GRADE approach (Higgins 2019). The assessment will be conducted based on consideration of:

  1. study design limitations (risk of bias);

  2. inconsistency;

  3. imprecision;

  4. indirectness;

  5. publication bias.

In accordance with the GRADE approach, we will evaluate the risk of bias based on:

  1. random sequence generation;

  2. allocation concealment;

  3. blinding of participants and personnel;

  4. blind of outcome assessment;

  5. completeness of outcome data;

  6. selective reporting;

  7. other sources of bias.

We will rate each of these factors as 'high', 'low', or 'unclear' risk of bias. Having rated the risk of bias, we will use CINeMA (Confidence in Network Meta‐Analysis)—a webtool developed to compute the percentage contribution of each direct contrast to each of the network estimates (CINeMA 2017). The CINeMA tool rates the evidence from each study based on six criteria (Salanti 2014).

  1. Within‐study bias

  2. Across‐studies bias

  3. Indirectness

  4. Imprecision

  5. Heterogeneity

  6. Incoherence

The results of the assessments for each of the four criteria are then mapped to a final rating following the usual GRADE scale as: 'high', 'moderate', 'low', and 'very low.'

At each stage, two review authors will independently evaluate the certainty rating for the evidence (direct and indirect). We will resolve disagreements through discussion and, where necessary, through consultation with a third review author.

For ease of comparison when interpreting the relative effects of all systemic corticosteroids, the 'Summary of findings' tables include the effect estimate and certainty judgements for direct evidence, indirect evidence and the network meta‐analysis. Given the potential complexity of 'Summary of findings' tables with multiple comparisons, we will have a single 'Summary of findings’ table for each of the outcomes listed below which will be structured based on recent recommendations (Yepes‐Nuñez 2019).

If potential indications of inconsistency are encountered, we will explore study characteristics which may explain their appearance and undertake sensitivity analyses to address the issue. To assess the impact of covariates on our findings, we will explore subgroup analyses or meta‐regression adjustments (or both) (Dias 2012; Salanti 2009). We will use comparison‐adjusted funnel plots to explore for the presence of publication bias (Chaimani 2013).

Measures of treatment effect

Relative treatment effects

Each of the outcomes in this review is a dichotomous outcome. As such, for each of our outcomes we will express summary estimates for binary endpoints as risk ratios (RRs). We will not evaluate any continuous outcomes. We will express all pairwise comparisons between interventions with 95% confidence intervals. We will summarize these in forest plots, displaying the results from pairwise, indirect and network (combining direct and indirect) analyses for the comparisons of treatment with systemic corticosteroids (high‐dose dexamethasone, low‐dose dexamethasone, or hydrocortisone) versus control (placebo or no treatment) or other corticosteroid preparation.

Relative treatment ranking

We will build an overall ranking from these RRs, and calculate the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) to explore potential orderings of treatment hierarchy (Salanti 2011). SUCRA is an index reflecting the degree to which an intervention is superior or inferior to the others, with values ranging from 1 (the best intervention) to 0 (the worst intervention).

Unit of analysis issues

Multi‐arm trials

We will include multi‐arm trials, and account for the correlation between the effect estimates in the network meta‐analysis. We will treat multi‐arm studies as multiple independent comparisons in pairwise meta‐analyses and these will not be combined in any analysis.

Cluster‐randomized trials

Cluster‐randomized trials are not eligible for this review.

Cross‐over trials

Cross‐over trials are not eligible for this review.

Dealing with missing data

For included studies, we will note the levels of attrition. We will employ sensitivity analysis to explore the impact of including studies with high levels of missing data in the overall assessment of treatment effect. We will define a high level of missing data as 30% or greater. For all outcomes, we will carry out analyses, as far as possible, on an intention‐to‐treat basis: that is, we will include all participants randomized to each group in the analyses, and all participants will be analyzed in the group to which they are allocated, regardless of whether or not they receive the allocated intervention. We will use the number randomized minus any participants whose outcomes are known to be missing as the denominator for each outcome in each trial.

Assessment of heterogeneity

Assessment of clinical and methodological heterogeneity within treatment comparisons

Our review will be exploring pairwise and network comparisons. In case of pairwise comparisons, we will assess the heterogeneity by visual inspection through forest plots, and through the I² statistic with relevant thresholds established in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2019). We will only pool data if the heterogeneity is found to be insignificant. If we find significant heterogeneity, we will explore the removal based on a sensitivity analysis (see below).

Assessment of transitivity across treatment comparisons

We will assess transitivity by comparing the distributions of the potential effect modifiers across different pairwise comparisons.

Assessment of statistical inconsistency

To assess the global consistency of the network, we will apply the design‐by‐treatment interaction model (Higgins 2012).

Assessment of reporting biases

We will use comparison‐adjusted funnel plots to explore for the presence of publication bias in the primary outcomes (Salanti 2009).

Data synthesis

Methods for direct comparisons

We will conduct a standard pairwise meta‐analysis with a random‐effects model using Review Manager 5 to calculate the pooled risk ratios (RR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (Review Manager 2014).

Methods for indirect and network comparisons

We will initially generate and assess the network diagrams to determine if a network meta‐analysis is feasible. Then we will perform the network meta‐analysis within a frequentist framework, using a random‐effects model. We will perform all analyses using R statistical software, using the igraph, and netmeta packages (R Core Team 2013). See Figure 1 for a draft network.


Anticipated network structure. Node size is proportional to estimated number of studies, and edge width is proportional to estimated number of comparisons. Blue dotted lines represent indirect comparisons to be made.

Anticipated network structure. Node size is proportional to estimated number of studies, and edge width is proportional to estimated number of comparisons. Blue dotted lines represent indirect comparisons to be made.

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

Subgroup analysis

As gestational age and birth weight are known to modify the risk of adverse outcomes, we will perform subgroup analyses per these pre‐determined stratifications to elucidate the impact of baseline risk on treatment effect. For the primary outcomes we will carry out the following pre‐specified subgroup analyses, repeating the above statistical approach for each analysis.

  1. Course duration (< 14 days versus ≥ 14 days)

  2. Gestational age (< 28 weeks versus ≥ 28 weeks)

  3. Birth weight (< 1000 g versus ≥ 1000 g)

  4. Use of rescue therapy (as above, cut‐point determined around the median)

We will assess subgroup differences by firstly comparing the network diagram for each subgroup. Next, we will perform a pairwise and network meta‐analysis for each subgroup, and we will compare their relative treatment effects and their relative treatment ranking. We will examine the subgroups for qualitative interactions where the direction of effect can be reversed, that is if an intervention is beneficial in one subgroup but harmful in another.

Sensitivity analysis

For the primary outcomes we plan to perform sensitivity analysis for the following.

  1. Risk of bias (restricted to low risk of bias studies only, per GRADE determination).

  2. Trial size (restricted to large studies, in recognition of the greater likelihood for small studies than large or multi‐center studies to suffer publication bias). The cut‐off for defining a small study can vary between research topics, and we will determine the specific cut‐off for this sensitivity analysis based upon the median study size of the included studies.

  3. Removing trials with more than 20% missing data for any relevant outcome.

We will assess differences by evaluating the relative effects and assessment of model fit.

Anticipated network structure. Node size is proportional to estimated number of studies, and edge width is proportional to estimated number of comparisons. Blue dotted lines represent indirect comparisons to be made.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 1

Anticipated network structure. Node size is proportional to estimated number of studies, and edge width is proportional to estimated number of comparisons. Blue dotted lines represent indirect comparisons to be made.