摘要 近幾年來,台灣各區域一旦降雨稍不正常,就會產生災害,多則產生水災,少則產生乾旱。而北部地區主要供水區—石門水庫,亦同樣面對水庫蓄水不足問題。水庫要能正常運作,除了原本水資源供應是否足夠之外,其水庫的放水操作亦非常重要。石門水庫自民國五十三年竣工以來,即利用M-5規線為水庫之操作準則,由於經濟成長,工商業的快速發展及生活品質的提昇,使得需水量遽增,因此加強水庫營運及管理,增加水資源利用率為一重要之課題。 因此本研究乃利用石門水庫歷年流量資料及各標的用水量,配合水庫運轉規則以模擬水庫之運轉,並對水庫操作規線進行分析比較。針對石門水庫現行之M-5規線的操作原則,及各項指標的比較,試著找出可能改善缺水情況的修正案;而在水權分配不變更的情形下,討論由上限水位的提高以增加標的蓄水狀況。本研究將上限之最低水位值提高至水庫標高240公尺,再將歷史資料重新模擬運轉,結果確實能有效增加水庫蓄水量,降低缺水期次數及缺水量。但水位提高對於水庫的防洪功能、壩體本身結構安全及下游居民之安全可能會有影響。雖然防洪功能經過計算在安全範圍內,但較保守之考量,若要採取此方法,必先增設排洪設施。
Abstract Recently, once the amounts of precipitation are abnormal at everywhere in Taiwan, it either brings up disaster of floods, nor droughts. The main water supply source at the north of Taiwan– Shihmen Reservoir, is facing the major problem of water shortage. To let a dam work properly, first, it depends on the enough amount of precipitation; secondly, the right way of releasing water is also very important. Since “Shihmen Reservoir” had been built in 1964, it started to use the M-5 curve to rule the dam. Due to the growing up of economy, industry, and the quality of lives, the needs of water has also increased. Therefore, it is important to enforce the operation and management of reservoir to increase the use rate of water resources. So, this study used the historical discharge informations,the amount of water using for each goal with the operation rule of the reservoir to simulating the operation of the reservoir. At the same time,the M-5 curve foe the reservoir were analyzed and compared each other. Accommodate of M-5 curve in Shihmen Reservoir, using the comparisons of each index, to figure out any possible amendments to approve the problem of shortage of water. Also, under the condition of invariant water right shared the amount of storing water increased was discussed due to the raised upper level position of water. Though this study, we will increase up 240m higher the minimum of upper level water, and re-imitate the history data of water behave. As the result, it surely can make great amount of water pondage, and decreasing the time period of water defection. However, water increasing is definitely affecting the protective power and the structure of the dam itself, and also the safety of the residents live around downriver. Although, flood-controlling function has been calculated safely within a certain arrangement, this is more important to build more new useful establishments to protect our land before any happened.