Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회논문지)

The Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society (한국산학기술학회)
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A Study on Development of Damage Impact Distance Calculation Formula to Determine Evacuation and Notification of Residents in Case of Ammonia Release Accident

암모니아 누출사고 시 주민대피 및 알림 결정을 위한 피해영향거리 산정식 개발 연구

  • Received : 2020.08.11
  • Accepted : 2020.10.05
  • Published : 2020.10.31
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Abstract

This study attempted to derive an equation for calculating the damage impact distance using CARIS so that local governments can quickly determine evacuation and notification of residents in the event of an ammonia-release accident. Ammonia is an accident-causing substance and one of 16 substances to prepare for resident evacuation. It is the most frequently occurring chemical with 58 chemical accidents from 2014~2019. The study derives an equation for calculating the damage impact distance according to the exposure time of ammonia based on AEGL, an acute exposure standard applicable to the general population, which is includes vulnerable groups such as infants, children and the elderly and designated by the EPA. The calculation formulas for each concentration and exposure time to classify the hazardous area according to AEGL-3 and the semi-dangerous area according to AEGL-2 were derived. A comparison of the relative standard deviation between the damage impact distance values of CARIS revealed that is was in the range of 0~2%. Local governments should consider the actual accident situation and apply the appropriate damage-affected distance calculation formula derived from the study to evacuate residents near the origin of the accident or use for protective measures such as indoor evacuation notification.

본 연구에서는 암모니아 누출사고 발생 시 지방자치단체에서 신속하게 주민대피 및 알림을 결정할 수 있도록 화학물질사고대응정보시스템(CARIS)을 활용한 피해영향거리 산정식을 도출하고자 하였다. 암모니아는 화학물질관리법상 사고대비물질이자 화학물질안전원에서 정한 주민대피 대비물질 16종 중 하나이며, 2014년부터 2019년 기간 동안 화학사고가 58건으로 가장 빈번하게 발생한 화학물질이다. 연구에서는 미국환경보호국(EPA)에서 지정하고, 유아 및 어린이, 노인 등의 취약집단을 포함하며 일반 인구에 적용 가능한 급성노출기준인 AEGL을 기준으로 암모니아의 노출시간에 따른 피해영향거리 산정식을 도출하였다. AEGL-3 농도기준에 따른 위험지역 구분과 AEGL-2 농도기준에 따른 준위험지역을 구분을 할 수 있는 농도별, 노출시간별 산정식을 도출하였으며, 도출된 산정식으로 얻어진 피해영향거리 수치와 화학물질사고대응정보시스템의 피해영향거리 수치간의 상대표준편차를 비교한 결과 0~2 % 범위인 것으로 조사되었다. 따라서 지방자치단체에서는 실제 사고 현장 상황을 고려하고 연구에서 도출된 적합한 피해영향거리 산정식을 적용하여 사고 원점 인근의 주민을 소산하거나 실내대피 알림 등의 보호조치에 활용될 수 있도록 하여야 한다.

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