Estrus Prediction Models for Dairy Gyr Heifers
Abstract
:Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Animals
2.2. Sexual Behavior
2.3. Body Temperature and Activity Recording
2.4. Statistical Analysis
2.5. Prediction Study
3. Results
3.1. Daily Variation of Reticulo-Rumen Temperature (RRT) and Activity (ACT)
3.2. Estimated Means and Standard Errors for Reticulo-Rumen Temperature (RRT) and Activity (ACT)
3.3. Prediction Study
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Day of Synchronization Protocol | Group | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
9 * | 77.05 ± 4.12 | 75.86 ± 3.34 | 73.94 ± 3.65 | 72.35 ± 4.32 |
10 | 74.69 ± 1.72 | 73.03 ± 2.79 | 71.97 ± 3.11 | 74.50 ± 4.62 |
11 ** | 73.98 ± 3.64 | 68.02 ± 3.59 | 71.15 ± 2.15 | 73.24 ± 3.13 |
12 | 73.17 ± 3.26 | 66.44 ± 7.44 | 71.94 ± 4.33 | 70.76 ± 3.00 |
Scheme 1 (Hours before First Observed Mount Acceptance) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Time (Hours) | Period | ||
Day before | Estrus | Day after | |
2 | 39.29 a ± 0.05 | 39.36 a ± 0.04 | 39.07 b ± 0.05 |
4 | 39.29 a ± 0.05 | 39.38 a ± 0.04 | 39.11 b ± 0.05 |
6 | 39.31 ab ± 0.05 | 39.38 a ± 0.04 | 39.17 b ± 0.05 |
8 | 39.32 ab ± 0.04 | 39.37 a ± 0.03 | 39.23 b ± 0.04 |
12 | 39.30 a ± 0.04 | 39.34 a ± 0.03 | 39.25 a ± 0.04 |
Overall mean | 39.30 ± 0.05 | 39.37 ± 0.04 | 39.17 ± 0.05 |
Scheme 2 (Hours after First Observed Mount Acceptance) | |||
2 | 39.27 b ± 0.05 | 39.45 a ± 0.04 | 39.12 c ± 0.04 |
4 | 39.28 b ± 0.04 | 39.51 a ± 0.04 | 39.12 c ± 0.04 |
6 | 39.31 b ± 0.04 | 39.55 a ± 0.04 | 39.15 c ± 0.04 |
8 | 39.32 b ± 0.04 | 39.57 a ± 0.04 | 39.18 c ± 0.03 |
12 | 39.31 b ± 0.03 | 39.54 a ± 0.03 | 39.21 b ± 0.03 |
Overall mean | 39.30 ± 0.04 | 39.52 ± 0.04 | 39.16 ± 0.04 |
Time (Hours) | Period | Difference | |
---|---|---|---|
Day before | Day of Implant Removal | ||
6 | 6.67 b ± 1.03 | 8.93 a ± 1.04 | 2.26 |
12 | 6.75 b ± 1.03 | 9.06 a ± 1.04 | 2.31 |
18 | 8.95 b ± 1.03 | 11.12 a ± 1.03 | 2.17 |
24 | 9.40 b ± 1.03 | 11.35 a ± 1.03 | 1.95 |
Performance Measure | Model | ||
---|---|---|---|
Logistic Regression | Random Forest | Linear Discriminant Analysis | |
Sensitivity (%) | 0 ± 0 | 51.69 ± 6.53 | 0.05 ± 0.11 |
Specificity (%) | 99.79 ± 0.13 | 93.10 ± 0.74 | 99.65 ± 0.22 |
PPV (%) | 0 ± 0 | 56.02 ± 5.32 | 1.92 ± 3.85 |
NPV (%) | 85.35 ± 1.53 | 91.83 ± 1.41 | 85.34 ± 1.54 |
Accuracy | 0.85 ± 0.02 | 0.87 ± 0.01 | 0.85 ± 0.02 |
AUC | 0.52 ± 0.04 | 0.90 ± 0.02 | 0.64 ± 0.04 |
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Andrade, V.V.; Bernardes, P.A.; Vicentini, R.R.; Oliveira, A.P.; Veroneze, R.; Ujita, A.; Negrão, J.A.; El Faro, L. Estrus Prediction Models for Dairy Gyr Heifers. Animals 2021, 11, 3103. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11113103
Andrade VV, Bernardes PA, Vicentini RR, Oliveira AP, Veroneze R, Ujita A, Negrão JA, El Faro L. Estrus Prediction Models for Dairy Gyr Heifers. Animals. 2021; 11(11):3103. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11113103
Chicago/Turabian StyleAndrade, Valesca Vilela, Priscila Arrigucci Bernardes, Rogério Ribeiro Vicentini, André Penido Oliveira, Renata Veroneze, Aska Ujita, João Alberto Negrão, and Lenira El Faro. 2021. "Estrus Prediction Models for Dairy Gyr Heifers" Animals 11, no. 11: 3103. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11113103