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Dynamic Data Analysis and Data Mining for Prediction of Clinical Stability
Kristien Van Loon, Fabian Guiza, Geert Meyfroidt, Jean-Marie Aerts, Jan Ramon, Hendrik Blockeel, Maurice Bruynooghe, Greet Van Den Berghe, Daniel Berckmans
This work studies the impact of using dynamic information as features in a machine learning algorithm for the prediction task of classifying critically ill patients in two classes according to the time they need to reach a stable state after coronary bypass surgery: less or more than nine hours. On the basis of five physiological variables different dynamic features were extracted. These sets of features served subsequently as inputs for a Gaussian process and the prediction results were compared with the case where only admission data was used for the classification. The dynamic features, especially the cepstral coefficients (aROC: 0.749, Brier score: 0.206), resulted in higher performances when compared to static admission data (aROC: 0.547, Brier score: 0.247). In all cases, the Gaussian process classifier outperformed logistic regression.
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