Skip to main content
Log in

Combining clustering and a decision tree classifier in a forecasting task

  • Published:
Automatic Control and Computer Sciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A joint analysis of continuous (time series demand observations) and discrete (well-describing parameters) data is studied. Such data mining techniques as data collection, preprocessing, clustering analysis, and classification are considered. Upon continuous data preprocessing and clustering, images of possible sales development are constructed. A new product’s demand is searched for using inductive decision trees built on well-describing data.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Flores, J.J. and Loaeza, R., Financial Time Series Forecasting Using a Hybrid Neural-Evaluative Approach, Proc. 15th SIGEF Int. Conf., Lugo, Spain, 2009, pp. 547–555.

  2. Salam, A. Najim, Zakaria, A. M. Al-Omari, and Samir M. Said, On the Application of Artificial Neural Network in Analyzing and Studying Daily Loads of Jordan Power System Plant, Comput. Sci. Inf. Syst., 2008, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 127–136.

    Google Scholar 

  3. Armstrong, J.S., Collopy, F., and Yokum, J.T., Decomposition by Causal Forces: a Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series, Int. J. Forecasting, 2005, no. 21, pp. 25–36.

  4. Kirshners, A. and Sukov, A., Rule Induction for Forecasting Transition Points in Product Life Cycle Data, Proc. of Riga Tech. Univ., Inf. Technol. Management Sci., 2008, vol. 36, pp. 170–177.

    Google Scholar 

  5. Thomassey, S. and Fiordaliso, A., A Hybrid Sales Forecasting System Based on Clustering and Decisions Trees, Decision Support Systems, 2006, vol. 42, no. 1, pp. 408–421.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Devisscher, M., De Baets, B., and Nopens, I., Pattern Discovery in Intensive Care Data through Sequence Alignment of Qualitative Trends: Proof Concept on a Dieresis Dataset, Proc. ICML/UAI/COLT Worsh. on Machine Learning for Health-Care Appl., Helsinki, Finland, 2008.

  7. Parshutin, S. and Borisov, A., Data Mining Driven Decision Support, Pol. J. Environ. Stud., 2009, vol. 18, no. 4A, pp. 8–11.

    Google Scholar 

  8. Symeonidis, A.L. et al., Data Mining for Agent Reasoning: a Synergy for Training Intelligent Agents, Eng. Appl. Art. Intel., 2007, vol. 20, no. 8, pp. 1097–1111.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Written, I.H. and Frank, E., Data Mining: Practical Machine Learning Tools and Techniques, Amsterdam etc.: Morgan Kauffman, 2005, 2nd ed.

    Google Scholar 

  10. Tekhnologii analiza dannykh: Data Mining, Visual Mining, Text Mining (Technologies of Data Analysis: Data Mining, Visual Mining, Text Mining, OLAP), Barsegyan, A., Kupriyanov, M., Stepanenko, V., and Holod, I., Eds., St. Petersburg, 2007.

  11. Quinlan, J.R., C4.5: Programs for Machine Learning, UK: Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, 1993.

    Google Scholar 

  12. Das, G., Lin, K., Manilla, H., Renganathan, G., and Smyth, P., Rule Discovery from Time Series, Proc. 3rd Int. Conf. on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, 1998, pp. 16–22.

  13. Montgomery, D.C., Jennings, C.L., and Kulachi, M., Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Wiley, 2008.

  14. Kohavi, R., A Study of Cross-Validation and Bootstrap for Accuracy Estimation and Model Selection, Proc. 14th Int. Conf. on Artificial Intelligence, San Mateo, CA: Morgan Kauffman, 1995, pp. 1137–1143.

  15. Borisov, A. and Kornienko, Y., A Study of Methods of Classifier Construction and Updating, Aut. Cont. Comput. Sci., 2008, vol. 42, no. 6, pp. 300–305.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Craven, M.W. and Shavlik, J.W., Extracting Tree-Structured Representations of Trained Networks, Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, Cambridge: MIT Press, 1996, vol. 8, pp. 24–30.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to A. K. Kirshners.

Additional information

Original Russian Text © A.K. Kirshners, S.V. Parshutin, A.N. Borisov, 2010, published in Avtomatika i Vychislitel’naya Tekhnika, 2010, No. 3, pp. 12–23.

About this article

Cite this article

Kirshners, A.K., Parshutin, S.V. & Borisov, A.N. Combining clustering and a decision tree classifier in a forecasting task. Aut. Conrol Comp. Sci. 44, 124–132 (2010). https://doi.org/10.3103/S0146411610030028

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S0146411610030028

Key words

Navigation