Pension Reform, Factor Mobility and Trade with Country-Specific Goods

Fedotenkov I., (2014). Pension reform, factor mobility and trade with country-specific goods, De Economist 162(3), p. 247-262

15 Pages Posted: 2 Apr 2012 Last revised: 27 Aug 2015

See all articles by Igor Fedotenkov

Igor Fedotenkov

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA)

Date Written: April 2, 2012

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of pension reform in a two-country model with country-specific goods. It shows that in the case of dynamic efficiency, a switch from a pay-as-you-go (PAYG) to a more-funded pension scheme leads to an inflow of labour to the reforming country. Reallocation of capital depends on the degree of substitutability between goods produced in the countries. If the goods produced in the countries are substitutes (complements), capital stock grows (declines) in the reformed country relative to the neighbouring country. Social security reform makes goods produced in the reformed country cheaper; this has an additional negative effect on the old generation in the reformed country, but compensates the old generation in the neighbouring country with cheaper imports due to a reduction in the tax base arising from emigration.

Keywords: Social security reform, mobile production factors, capital flows, elasticity of substitution

JEL Classification: F21, F22, H55

Suggested Citation

Fedotenkov, Igor, Pension Reform, Factor Mobility and Trade with Country-Specific Goods (April 2, 2012). Fedotenkov I., (2014). Pension reform, factor mobility and trade with country-specific goods, De Economist 162(3), p. 247-262, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2033265 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2033265

Igor Fedotenkov (Contact Author)

Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration under the President of the Russian Federation (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Sredny av. V.O., 57/43
Moscow, St. Petersburg 119571
Russia

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