京津冀地区是我国主要的人口聚集区,但在人口发展过程中,也存在人口与资源环境等外部系统协调性较差的问题。本文以此为背景,首先分析京津冀地区人口发展现状,在此基础上,利用熵权法从人口内部系统及人口外部系统两方面构建京津冀地区人口均衡发展综合评价体系,以期通过探究京津冀三地在人口发展方面存在的比较优势及显著问题,为京津冀协调发展提出合理的政策建议。研究结果表明河北省在人口与经济系统协调发展方面显著落后于京津,相比之下,北京、天津则在资源及社会系统方面存在一定的弊端,因此,河北省与北京市、天津市在人口发展方面可以有效实现优势互补。在上述结论的基础上,本文提出建设北京高校河北异地校区、加强京津产业转移及河北产业结构调整力度等建议。
The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region is an area that most population conceptualized in China. However, in the process of population development, there are also problems of poor coordination among population, resources and environment and other external systems. Based on this background, this article firstly analyzes the population development status of the BTH region. On this basis, the entropy method is used to construct a comprehensive evaluation system for the balanced development of the population in the BTH region from the internal and the external population system. The comparative advantages and significant problems in the population development of the BTH three places provide reasonable policy recommendations for the coordinated development of BTH. The results of research show that Hebei Province is significantly behind Beijing and Tianjin in the coordinated development of population and economic systems. In contrast, Beijing and Tianjin have certain disadvantages in terms of resources and social systems. Therefore, In terms of population development, complementary advantages of BTH can be effectively achieved. On the basis of the above conclusions, this article puts forward some suggestions on the construction of Hebei campuses of universities in Beijing, strengthening the transfer of industries from Beijing to Tianjin and the adjustment of Hebei's industrial structure.
The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region is an area that most population conceptualized in China. However, in the process of population development, there are also problems of poor coordination among population, resources and environment and other external systems. Based on this background, this article firstly analyzes the population development status of the BTH region. On this basis, the entropy method is used to construct a comprehensive evaluation system for the balanced development of the population in the BTH region from the internal and the external population system. The comparative advantages and significant problems in the population development of the BTH three places provide reasonable policy recommendations for the coordinated development of BTH. The results of research show that Hebei Province is significantly behind Beijing and Tianjin in the coordinated development of population and economic systems. In contrast, Beijing and Tianjin have certain disadvantages in terms of resources and social systems. Therefore, In terms of population development, complementary advantages of BTH can be effectively achieved. On the basis of the above conclusions, this article puts forward some suggestions on the construction of Hebei campuses of universities in Beijing, strengthening the transfer of industries from Beijing to Tianjin and the adjustment of Hebei's industrial structure.