초록

This paper analyzes the demand structure of passenger cars by estimating expenditure and opportunity cost equations separately under a censored regression model with latent floating censoring thresholds. An expensive durable good such as a passenger car is consumed at the expense of the foregone consumption of other goods and services or saving. A consumer accepts a price offer of a car when the worth specified by the price stream exceeds the reservation threshold specified by the opportunity cost, and the price is realized as expenditure. The expenditure increases with net wealth and income, while the opportunity cost decreases with income; however it increases with squared income and the number of owned cars. This implies that even a very rich person (household) would not demand an additional car, despite additional income, because the utility is already saturated and there are physical constraints against further consumption. By simulations, the probability of purchasing a car is demonstrated. The analyzing method can be generalized and extended directly to the cases of other expensive durable goods.

키워드

passenger cars, expenditure, opportunity cost, floating thresholds, Tobit model

참고문헌(20)open

  1. [단행본] Amemiya, T. / 1985 / Advanced Econometrics / Basil Blackwell

  2. [학술지] Berry, S. / 1995 / Automobile prices in market equilibrium / Econometrica 63 : 841 ~ 890

  3. [학술지] Berry, S. / 2004 / Differentiated products demand system from a combination of micro and macro data : The new car market / Journal of Political Economy 112 (1) : 68 ~ 105

  4. [학술지] 장광필 / 2010 / 가격 내생성을 반영한 자동차 선택모형 / 마케팅연구 25 (3) : 51 ~ 69

  5. [학술지] 조장희 / 2013 / Analysis of Consumer Buying Behavior: Price Discounts through Consumption Patterns of Instant Ramen / Journal of Economic Research (JER) 18 (1) : 35 ~ 54

  6. [학술지] Dargay, J. M. / 2002 / Determinants of car ownership in rural and urban areas : A pseudo-panel analysis / Transportation Research Part E 38 : 351 ~ 366

  7. [학술지] Gronau, R. / 1973 / The effects of children on the housewife's value of time / Journal of Political Economy 81 : 168 ~ 199

  8. [학술지] Gronau, R. / 1974 / Wage comparisons A selectivity bias / Journal of Political Economy 82 : 1119 ~ 1143

  9. [학술지] Heckman, J. / 1974 / Shadow prices, market wages, and labor supply / Econometrica 42 : 679 ~ 694

  10. [학술지] 홍형주 / 2011 / The Impact of Tariff Elimination on the Demand Structure in the Korean Automobile Industry / 산업조직연구 19 (2) : 29 ~ 58

  11. [단행본] Johnson, N. L / 1972 / Distributions in statistics: Continuous multivariate distributions / John Wiley & Sons, Inc

  12. [학술지] 김현철 / 2010 / 양극화경제성장이 승용차수요에 미치는 영향 / Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods 17 (6) : 767 ~ 777

  13. [학위논문] Lee, M. / 1998 / Off-farm labor supply and various related aspects of resource allocation by agricultural households

  14. [단행본] Maddala, G. S. / 1983 / Limited-Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics / Cambridge University Press

  15. [학술지] AmitaMajumder / 2002 / On the Distributional Effect of Commodity Tax Reform / Journal of Economic Research (JER) 7 (1) : 105 ~ 116

  16. [학술지] Nelson, F. D. / 1977 / Censored regression models with uncensored stochastic censoring thresholds / Journal of Econometrics 6 (3) : 309 ~ 328

  17. [보고서] Park, M / 2005 / A qualitative analysis of demand structure change and policy effects in consumer goods industries: The case of automobile and consumer electronics industries

  18. [학술지] 박민수 / 2006 / 이산적 선택 모형을 이용한 자동차 특별소비세의 사회후생 효과분석 / 산업조직연구 14 (2) : 31 ~ 62

  19. [학술지] Rhee, D. / 1998 / Eine mikrooekonometrische untersuchung ueber das veraendert nachfrageverhalten fuer Koreanische personenkraftwagen / Journal of Korean-German Academy of Economics and Management 17 : 145 ~ 163

  20. [학술지] Train, E. K. / 2007 / Vehicle choice behavior and the declining market share of U. S. automobiles / International Economic Review 48 (4) : 1469 ~ 1496