The Economic Effects of the Upgrading of Technological Structure of Chinese Manufactured Export Goods——A Quantitative Study on the Technological Structure of Manufactured Export Goods Based on Dynamic ClassificationChinese Full Text
HONG Shi-qin LIU Hou-jun
Abstract: Export product diversity and export product technical complexity may have important impact on China’s foreign trade growth and economic growth,according to the Hummles et al.（2005） and Hidalgo,Hausman’s（2009） research.Export products with different technical complexity show different economic performance.If a nation possesses export high technical complexity products,its economic performance will be better.Using SITC5 digital 2600 kinds of manufactured export products data of China during 1993-2010,the article calculates revealed technological value-added index of manufactured products and then analyzes the impact of different technical complexity manufactured export goods on economic growth through the dynamic panel data model.Results show that there are significant correlation between upgrading of manufactured export goods technical complexity and the economic growth of China.But the results of the empirical analysis shows,although the contribution ratio of Chinese manufactured goods’ diversity and complexity to economic growth becomes increasingly stronger,it is not very high.As a trading nation,China has not fully formed benign mechanism to promote the growth by diversity of export and upgrading of export technical complexity.Manufactured goods of low technology and above medium technology do not constitute the main resources of promoting China’s economic growth.There are risks that China has to fall into "the middle income trap".Based on above conclusion,we arrive at the suggestions on how to promote the diversity of Chinese export and technical structure upgrading and how to cross the stage of middle income.
Keywords：
Manufactured goods export; Diversity; Technical complexity; Technical structure of export; Economic performance;
- DOI：
10.13510/j.cnki.jit.2013.04.007
- Series：
- Subject：
- Classification Code：
F752.62;F224
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