Abstract
Objectives
We used a novel combined analysis to evaluate various factors associated with failure to surgical resection in non-metastatic gastric cancer.
Methods
We identified factors associated with the receipt of surgery in publicly available clinical trial data for gastric cancer and in the National Cancer Database (NCDB) for patients with stages I–III gastric adenocarcinoma. Next, we evaluated variable importance in predicting the receipt of surgery in the NCDB.
Results
In published clinical trial data, 10% of patients in surgery-first arms did not undergo surgery, mostly due to disease progression and 15% of patients in neoadjuvant therapy arms failed to reach surgery. Effects related to neoadjuvant administration explained the increased attrition (5%). In the NCDB, 61.7% of patients underwent definitive surgery. In a subset of NCDB patients resembling those enrolled in clinical trials (younger, healthier, and privately insured patients treated at high-volume and academic centers) the rate of surgery was 79.2%. Decreased likelihood of surgery was associated with advanced age (OR 0.97, p < 0.01), Charlson–Deyo score of 2+ (OR 0.90, p < 0.01), T4 tumors (OR 0.39, p < 0.01), N+ disease (OR 0.84, p < 0.01), low socioeconomic status (OR 0.86, p = 0.01), uninsured or on Medicaid (OR 0.58 and 0.69, respectively, p < 0.01), low facility volume (OR 0.64, p < 0.01), and non-academic cancer programs (OR 0.79, p < 0.01).
Conclusion
Review of clinical trials shows attrition due to unavoidable tumor and treatment factors (~ 15%). The NCDB indicates non-medical patient and provider characteristics (i.e., age, insurance status, facility volume) associated with attrition. This combined analysis highlights specific opportunities for improving potentially curative surgery rates.
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Availability of data and material
Supplementary table and publicly available clinical trial data and the de-identified National Cancer Database are available upon request.
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RH and HK came up with the idea; RH, HK, WD, and FA were responsible for the metholdology; HK wrote the original draft; HK, EP, FA, WD, ME, LO, LR, JA, and RH were responsible for review and editing; and RH was responsible for supervision. All authors read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
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Kakish, H.H., Ahmed, F.A., Pei, E. et al. Understanding Factors Leading to Surgical Attrition for “Resectable” Gastric Cancer. Ann Surg Oncol 30, 4207–4216 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-023-13469-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1245/s10434-023-13469-5