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Assessment of Influences of Anthropogenic and Climatic Changes in the Drainage Basin on Hydrological Processes in the Gulf of Ob

  • THE CURRENT STATE AND THE PROSPECTS OF RIVER MOUTH HYDROLOGY: TO THE 90TH ANNIVERSARY OF V. N. MIKHAILOV
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Abstract

Changes in the runoff of rivers flowing into the Arctic Ocean caused by climate changes and increasing anthropogenic load lead to foreseeable transformations of hydrological processes in the mouth areas of the rivers. Climatic, water-balance, and hydrodynamic models were successively applied to evaluate the effect of climatic and anthropogenic changes in the drainage basin of the Ob river estuary on seasonal hydrological processes in the Gulf of Ob. Climate changes along with considerable seasonal redistribution of river runoff in the drainage basin of the Gulf of Ob, mostly due to its increase in winter, were found to cause no significant changes in the seasonal hydrological mouth processes in 1980–2018. Estimates for a period of up to 2050 showed that climate changes under various scenarios will cause an increase in streamflow from the basin, which will reduce the penetration of saltwater into the gulf.

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The authors are grateful to the US National Science Foundation for the data presented for model validation.

Funding

The study was supported by the Russian Foundation for Basic Research, project no. 18–05–60 192 and US National Science Foundation, grants 1913962 and 1917515.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, 199397, St. Petersburg, Russia

    M. V. Tretiakov & A. I. Shiklomanov

  2. University of New Hampshire, 03824, Durham, NH, USA

    A. I. Shiklomanov

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Correspondence to M. V. Tretiakov.

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Tretiakov, M.V., Shiklomanov, A.I. Assessment of Influences of Anthropogenic and Climatic Changes in the Drainage Basin on Hydrological Processes in the Gulf of Ob. Water Resour 49, 820–835 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807822050165

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