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Stabilization Wedges: Solving the Climate Problem for the Next 50 Years with Current Technologies
S. Pacala1* and
R. Socolow2*
Humanity already possesses the fundamental scientific, technical,and industrial know-how to solve the carbon and climate problemfor the next half-century. A portfolio of technologies now existsto meet the world's energy needs over the next 50 years andlimit atmospheric CO2 to a trajectory that avoids a doublingof the preindustrial concentration. Every element in this portfoliohas passed beyond the laboratory bench and demonstration project;many are already implemented somewhere at full industrial scale.Although no element is a credible candidate for doing the entirejob (or even half the job) by itself, the portfolio as a wholeis large enough that not every element has to be used.
1 Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA. 2 Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.
* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: pacala{at}princeton.edu (S.P.); socolow{at}princeton.edu (R.S.)
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Science
311, 484-489
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