エアロゾル研究
Online ISSN : 1881-543X
Print ISSN : 0912-2834
ISSN-L : 0912-2834
特集「エアロゾル気候影響評価の不確定性低減へ向けた取り組み」
エアロゾル気候影響評価の現状と今後の展開
竹村 俊彦
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ジャーナル フリー

2009 年 24 巻 4 号 p. 237-241

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The aerosol effects on the climate system are roughly divided into three categories: direct, indirect, and semi-direct effects. Observations from satellites and ground with remote sensing and numerical models have been developed to understand and estimate aerosol effects on a global scale. In the latest assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) , however, there are still large uncertainties in their radiative forcings in comparison with the estimation of long-lived greenhouse gases. To reduce the uncertainties, we have to study the three-dimensional aerosol distributions and the cloud-aerosol interaction more accurately. It is important to observe aerosol vertical profiles with lidar, one of the active sensors, to understand the three-dimensional aerosol distributions as well as to continue observations with passive sensors. The data assimilation, which harmonizes numerical models with observations, is also an effective method to reduce the uncertainties. A cloud resolving model coupled with an aerosol transport model is a useful tool to better understand the cloud-aerosol interaction. Efforts to analyze the aerosol climate effects quantitatively will result in more reliable projection of the future climate change and elucidating climate system.

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© 2009 日本エアロゾル学会
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