Statistical properties of the volatility of price fluctuations

Yanhui Liu, Parameswaran Gopikrishnan, Cizeau, Meyer, Peng, and H. Eugene Stanley
Phys. Rev. E 60, 1390 – Published 1 August 1999
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Abstract

We study the statistical properties of volatility, measured by locally averaging over a time window T, the absolute value of price changes over a short time interval Δt. We analyze the S&P 500 stock index for the 13-year period Jan. 1984 to Dec. 1996. We find that the cumulative distribution of the volatility is consistent with a power-law asymptotic behavior, characterized by an exponent μ3, similar to what is found for the distribution of price changes. The volatility distribution retains the same functional form for a range of values of T. Further, we study the volatility correlations by using the power spectrum analysis. Both methods support a power law decay of the correlation function and give consistent estimates of the relevant scaling exponents. Also, both methods show the presence of a crossover at approximately 1.5 days. In addition, we extend these results to the volatility of individual companies by analyzing a data base comprising all trades for the largest 500 U.S. companies over the two-year period Jan. 1994 to Dec. 1995.

  • Received 22 February 1999

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.60.1390

©1999 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Yanhui Liu1, Parameswaran Gopikrishnan1,*, Cizeau1,†, Meyer1,†, Peng1,2, and H. Eugene Stanley1,‡

  • 1Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02215
  • 2Margret and H. A. Rey Laboratory for Nonlinear Dynamics in Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts 02215

  • *Electronic address: gopi@bu.edu
  • Present address: Science & Finance, 109-111, rue Victor Hugo, 92532 Levallois Cedex, France.
  • Electronic address: hes@bu.edu. Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

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Vol. 60, Iss. 2 — August 1999

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