Abstract
This study investigates the role of the trading volume in explaining the shift of firm's total and systematic risk when a dividend change is announced. We compared the differential interpretation hypothesis and pre-announcement disagreement hypothesis with more than 20,000 samples collected for 30 years. We found that the total risk generally increases regardless of the level of abnormal trading volume, which supports the differential interpretation hypothesis. We also found a positive relationship between announcement-period abnormal trading volume and post-announcement changes in beta, which is only consistent with the differential interpretation hypothesis. However, the decrease in beta for the majority of sample firms is only consistent with the pre-announcement disagreement hypothesis.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Ball, R. and S. P. Kothari, “Security Returns Around Earnings Announcements.” The Accounting Review, October, 718-738, (1991).
Brown, K. C., W. V. Harlow and S. M. Tinic, “Risk Aversion, Uncertain Information, and Market Efficiency.” Journal of Financial Economics, December, 355-385, (1988).
Brown, K. C.,W. V. Harlow and S. M. Tinic, “The Risk and Required Return of Common Stock Following Major Price Innovations.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, March, 101-116, (1993).
Gerety, M. S. and H. J. Mulherin, “Trading Halts and Market Activity: An Analysis of Volume at the Open and the Close.” Journal of Finance, December, 1765-1784, (1992).
Grossman, S., “An Introduction to the Theory of Rational Expectations under Asymmetric Information.” Review of Economic Studies 44, 431-449, (1981).
Harris, M. and A. Raviv, “Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race.” The Review of Financial Studies, Autumn, 473-506, (1993).
He, H. and J. Wang, “Differential Information and Dynamic Behavior of Stock Trading Volume.” The Review of Financial Studies, Winter, 919-972, (1995).
Kandel, E. and N. D. Pearson, “Differential Interpretation of Public Signals and Trade in Speculative Markets.” Journal of Political Economy, August, 831-872, (1995).
Karpoff, J., “A Theory of Trading Volume.” Journal of Finance, December, 1069-1087, (1986).
Karpoff, J., “The Relation between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A Survey.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, March, 109-126, (1987).
Kim, O. and R. E.Verrecchia, “Market Reaction to Anticipated Announcements.” Journal of Financial Economics, December, 273-309, (1991a).
Kim, O. and R. E. Verrecchia, “Trading Volume and Price Reactions to Public Announcement.” Journal of Accounting Research, Autumn, 109-126, (1991b).
Kross, W., G. L. Ha and R. Heflin, “A Test of Risk Clientele Effects via an Examination of Trading Volume Response to Earnings Announcements.” Journal of Accounting and Economics, July, 67-87, (1994).
Milgrom, P. and N. Stokey, “Information, Trade and Common Knowledge.” Journal of Economic Theory 26, 17-27, (1985).
Varian, H. R., “Differences of Opinion in Financial Markets, Financial Risk Theory, Evidence and I Implications.” Proceedings of the 11th Annual Economic Policy Conference of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Boston: Kluwer, (1989).
Wang, J., “A Model of Competitive Stock Trading Volume.” Journal of Political Economy, February, 127-168, (1994).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Kim, D.S., Rui, D.O.M. & Xu, D.P. Risk Shift Following Dividend Change Announcement: The Role of Trading Volume. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 19, 45–63 (2002). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1015778208868
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1015778208868