Validity of ultrasound estimation of fetal weight

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Abstract

Objective: To assess the validity of ultrasound estimation of fetal weight at term.

Methods: We conducted a prospective observational study whereby all ultrasonic biometric measurements were done by a single observer. Fifty pregnant women at term had ultrasonic measurement of various fetal biometric parameters performed within a week of delivery. Fetal weight was estimated by the use of four reported methods (Aoki, Campbell, Shepard, and Hadlock formulas). We compared estimated weight with the birth weight after the estimated fetal weight was adjusted by adding 25 g for each day between the ultrasound measurements and delivery.

Results: The adjusted estimated fetal weight obtained from all four formulas tended to be lower than measured birth weight. The smallest mean difference was obtained with the Shepard and Aoki formulas (51.4 g and 60.5 g, respectively), whereas the Campbell and Hadlock formulas produced larger mean differences (141.8 g and 190.7 g, respectively). The Aoki formula generated the smallest range between the limits of agreement (−324.2 to 445.2 g) whereas the Campbell formula produced the largest range (−286.5 to 570.1 g). The range between the limits of agreement generated with the Shepard and Hadlock formulas were intermediate between those produced by the Aoki and Campbell formulas. The intraclass correlation coefficients generated with the Aoki and Shepard formulas were identical (0.90). The intraclass correlation coefficients obtained with the Hadlock (0.84) and Campbell formulas (0.85) were lower.

Conclusion: The validity of ultrasonic estimation of fetal weight at term with all four formulas was high.

Section snippets

Materials and methods

We used purposive sampling from a larger study of 274 low-risk pregnant women participating in a study of serial ultrasound biometry.8 The criterion for selection was the measurement of four variables by ultrasound, biparietal diameter (BPD), femur length (FL), fetal abdominal area, and abdominal circumference (AC), within 7 days of delivery at term (over 37 weeks’) gestation. There were 50 (18%) subjects who satisfied that criterion. Gestational ages were calculated with reference to the

Results

The descriptive statistics of the ultrasonic biometric variables, adjusted ultrasonic fetal weight estimations using the four formulas, time, and the actual birth weights are shown in Table 2. The average time interval between ultrasonic assessment and delivery ± SD was 3.6 ± 1.9 days. The mean gestational age at delivery ± SD was 275.0 ± 6.5 days.

Figure 1 shows the agreement between the adjusted, ultrasound-estimated fetal weight and the actual birth weight assessed visually by the limits of

Discussion

Our study showed that fetal weight estimated by ultrasound using the Aoki, Campbell, Shepard, and Hadlock formulas is a valid estimate of actual weight. The credibility of our findings depends on the rigor of design, conduct, and analysis of our study. Our study fulfills the design and conduct criteria for bias in the assessment of validity in clinical measurements.16, 18, 21 In particular, we used an appropriate reference standard for fetal weight measurement, and the author who calculated the

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